Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 12/08, 12:00

Prediction: Charlestown Azzurri vs Edgeworth Eagles

Team pages: Charlestown Azzurri · Edgeworth Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Charlestown Azzurri1.12

Edgeworth Eagles1.9

1X2

22% 23% 55%

Charlestown Azzurri Draw Edgeworth Eagles

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Charlestown Azzurri 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Edgeworth Eagles 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWWWWD

Head-to-head

Charlestown Azzurri 0–2–4 Edgeworth Eagles (6 last)

Edgeworth Eagles0-0Charlestown Azzurri
Edgeworth Eagles2-1Charlestown Azzurri
Edgeworth Eagles1-0Charlestown Azzurri
Charlestown Azzurri1-2Edgeworth Eagles
Edgeworth Eagles3-1Charlestown Azzurri
Charlestown Azzurri2-2Edgeworth Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlestown Azzurri 1377 · Edgeworth Eagles 1529

	Charlestown Azzurri	Draw	Edgeworth Eagles
Our model	21%	24%	55%
Market	22%	22%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edgeworth Eagles (rating 1377 vs 1529).
H2H favours Edgeworth Eagles: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Charlestown Azzurri	Edgeworth Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 3.1	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4	1.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.10

21.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Pinn 4.19
2	1.70 → 1.60▼	Pinn 1.67 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:06 +2’	3.60	4.00	1.70
01:51 +19’	4.00▲	4.10▲	1.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:09	3.80	4.27	1.64
03:14	3.82▲	4.29▲	1.64▼
04:19	3.65▼	4.19▼	1.67▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlestown Azzurri 0–2–4 Edgeworth Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Edgeworth Eagles	0-0 HT 0-0	Charlestown Azzurri
18/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	2-1 HT 2-0	Charlestown Azzurri
08/08/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	1-0 HT 0-0	Charlestown Azzurri
09/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Charlestown Azzurri	1-2 HT 1-1	Edgeworth Eagles
08/09/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	3-1 HT 1-0	Charlestown Azzurri
17/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Charlestown Azzurri	2-2 HT 1-1	Edgeworth Eagles

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	21	14	4	3	51	23	46
2	Weston Workers FC	20	11	4	5	44	31	37
3	Edgeworth Eagles	20	10	6	4	38	29	36
4	Maitland FC	20	11	3	6	36	30	36
5	Belmont Swansea United SC	21	10	5	6	45	41	35
6	Cooks Hill United	21	8	6	7	39	34	30
7	Valentine Phoenix	21	7	4	10	22	39	25
8	Lambton Jaffas	21	6	4	11	36	33	22
9	Newcastle Olympic FC	21	5	6	10	39	38	21
10	Adamstown Rosebud	20	5	6	9	29	39	21
11	Kahibah FC	20	6	2	12	32	47	20
12	Charlestown Azzurri	20	4	2	14	25	52	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Charlestown Azzurri	Edgeworth Eagles
Valentine Phoenix	0-1 L	1-2 L
Weston Workers FC	0-5 L	0-0 D
Cooks Hill United	0-4 L	0-1 L
Newcastle Olympic FC	1-7 L	2-0 W
Belmont Swansea United SC	1-3 L	2-0 W
Kahibah FC	1-4 L	2-1 W
Lambton Jaffas	1-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 7 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Edgeworth Eagles (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Charlestown Azzurri

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
25/07	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
15/07	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	0-5	3	2	L
11/07	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
01/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-4	1-7	6	4	L
27/06	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	1-3	5	6	L
24/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	2-2	0	6	D
21/06	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-4	7	3	L
14/06	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-2	1-3	5	5	L
06/06	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-0	4	6	D

Edgeworth Eagles

LDLLWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-0	0	2	D
02/08	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
26/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
03/07	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	3-2	5	1	W
23/06	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	3-2	8	1	W
20/06	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
13/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
06/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
17/05	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	2-3	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charlestown Azzurri vs Edgeworth Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Edgeworth Eagles win (55%). Probabilities: Charlestown Azzurri 22%, draw 23%, Edgeworth Eagles 55%.

How many goals are expected in Charlestown Azzurri vs Edgeworth Eagles?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Charlestown Azzurri 1.12 · Edgeworth Eagles 1.9), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Charlestown Azzurri vs Edgeworth Eagles?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.