Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 16/08, 06:00

Prediction: Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown Azzurri

Team pages: Broadmeadow Magic · Charlestown Azzurri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.16Total

Broadmeadow Magic2.88

Charlestown Azzurri1.28

1X2

70% 16% 14%

Broadmeadow Magic Draw Charlestown Azzurri

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Broadmeadow Magic 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWWWL

Charlestown Azzurri 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Broadmeadow Magic 3–2–1 Charlestown Azzurri (6 last)

Charlestown Azzurri3-5Broadmeadow Magic
Charlestown Azzurri1-1Broadmeadow Magic
Broadmeadow Magic3-0Charlestown Azzurri
Broadmeadow Magic3-2Charlestown Azzurri
Broadmeadow Magic0-0Charlestown Azzurri
Charlestown Azzurri2-0Broadmeadow Magic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Broadmeadow Magic 1574 · Charlestown Azzurri 1361

	Broadmeadow Magic	Draw	Charlestown Azzurri
Our model	70%	17%	14%
Market	70%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 4.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Broadmeadow Magic (rating 1574 vs 1361).
H2H favours Broadmeadow Magic: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Broadmeadow Magic	Charlestown Azzurri
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	0.7 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.2 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.2	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:47 +4’	1.28	5.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Broadmeadow Magic 3–2–1 Charlestown Azzurri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Charlestown Azzurri	3-5 HT 1-1	Broadmeadow Magic
15/06/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Charlestown Azzurri	1-1 HT 1-0	Broadmeadow Magic
13/05/25 Australia Cup Qualifying	Broadmeadow Magic	3-0 HT 1-0	Charlestown Azzurri
09/03/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Broadmeadow Magic	3-2 HT 0-1	Charlestown Azzurri
28/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Broadmeadow Magic	0-0 HT 0-0	Charlestown Azzurri
28/04/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Charlestown Azzurri	2-0 HT 0-0	Broadmeadow Magic

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	21	14	4	3	51	23	46
2	Weston Workers FC	21	12	4	5	48	33	40
3	Edgeworth Eagles	21	11	6	4	40	29	39
4	Maitland FC	21	12	3	6	38	31	39
5	Belmont Swansea United SC	21	10	5	6	45	41	35
6	Cooks Hill United	21	8	6	7	39	34	30
7	Valentine Phoenix	21	7	4	10	22	39	25
8	Lambton Jaffas	21	6	4	11	36	33	22
9	Newcastle Olympic FC	21	5	6	10	39	38	21
10	Adamstown Rosebud	21	5	6	10	31	43	21
11	Kahibah FC	21	6	2	13	33	49	20
12	Charlestown Azzurri	21	4	2	15	25	54	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Broadmeadow Magic	Charlestown Azzurri
Kahibah FC	0-1 L	1-4 L
Cooks Hill United	1-0 W	0-4 L
Maitland FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Newcastle Olympic FC	2-1 W	1-7 L
Weston Workers FC	5-1 W	0-5 L
Belmont Swansea United SC	0-1 L	1-3 L
Valentine Phoenix	1-1 D	0-1 L
Lambton Jaffas	2-1 W	1-3 L
Edgeworth Eagles	3-2 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 9 L

Better against common opponents: Broadmeadow Magic (9 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Broadmeadow Magic

WWDWLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
31/07	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
25/07	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
12/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	2-1	5	2	W
28/06	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	5-1	13	2	W
20/06	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-1	12	3	L
13/06	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	5-1	5	3	W
06/06	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
31/05	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
17/05	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	3-2	5	4	W

Charlestown Azzurri

LLDLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-2	0	2	L
09/08	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
25/07	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
15/07	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	0-5	3	2	L
11/07	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
01/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-4	1-7	6	4	L
27/06	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	1-3	5	6	L
24/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	2-2	0	6	D
21/06	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-4	7	3	L
14/06	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-2	1-3	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown Azzurri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Broadmeadow Magic win (70%). Probabilities: Broadmeadow Magic 70%, draw 16%, Charlestown Azzurri 14%.

How many goals are expected in Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown Azzurri?

The model expects 4.16 goals (Broadmeadow Magic 2.88 · Charlestown Azzurri 1.28), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown Azzurri?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.