Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 16/08, 06:00

Prediction: Maitland FC vs Edgeworth Eagles

Team pages: Maitland FC · Edgeworth Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Maitland FC1.25

Edgeworth Eagles1.36

1X2

35% 26% 39%

Maitland FC Draw Edgeworth Eagles

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Maitland FC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Edgeworth Eagles 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Maitland FC 2–4 Edgeworth Eagles (6 last)

Edgeworth Eagles3-1Maitland FC
Edgeworth Eagles2-0Maitland FC
Maitland FC0-4Edgeworth Eagles
Maitland FC4-5Edgeworth Eagles
Edgeworth Eagles2-4Maitland FC
Maitland FC4-0Edgeworth Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maitland FC 1549 · Edgeworth Eagles 1548

	Maitland FC	Draw	Edgeworth Eagles
Our model	33%	29%	38%
Market	36%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Edgeworth Eagles: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maitland FC	Edgeworth Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.8	2.8 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.80

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
07:49 +3’	2.50	3.80	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maitland FC 2–0–4 Edgeworth Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	3-1 HT 3-0	Maitland FC
05/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	2-0 HT 1-0	Maitland FC
06/04/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Maitland FC	0-4 HT 0-1	Edgeworth Eagles
18/08/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Maitland FC	4-5 HT 2-3	Edgeworth Eagles
19/06/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	2-4 HT 0-2	Maitland FC
15/07/23 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Maitland FC	4-0 HT 1-0	Edgeworth Eagles

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	21	14	4	3	51	23	46
2	Weston Workers FC	21	12	4	5	48	33	40
3	Edgeworth Eagles	21	11	6	4	40	29	39
4	Maitland FC	21	12	3	6	38	31	39
5	Belmont Swansea United SC	21	10	5	6	45	41	35
6	Cooks Hill United	21	8	6	7	39	34	30
7	Valentine Phoenix	21	7	4	10	22	39	25
8	Lambton Jaffas	21	6	4	11	36	33	22
9	Newcastle Olympic FC	21	5	6	10	39	38	21
10	Adamstown Rosebud	21	5	6	10	31	43	21
11	Kahibah FC	21	6	2	13	33	49	20
12	Charlestown Azzurri	21	4	2	15	25	54	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maitland FC	Edgeworth Eagles
Kahibah FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Charlestown Azzurri	2-1 W	2-0 W
Lambton Jaffas	1-0 W	3-2 W
Adamstown Rosebud	3-1 W	3-2 W
Newcastle Olympic FC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Valentine Phoenix	1-0 W	1-2 L
Belmont Swansea United SC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Weston Workers FC	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 0 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Maitland FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
09/08	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
25/07	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
22/07	Fremantle City FC Australia Cup	0-0	1-2	4	1	L
18/07	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
11/07	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	3-1	4	1	W
21/06	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/06	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
30/05	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-1	11	5	W
23/05	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-0	8	4	W

Edgeworth Eagles

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-0	14	2	W
08/08	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-0	0	2	D
02/08	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
26/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
03/07	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	3-2	5	1	W
23/06	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	3-2	8	1	W
20/06	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
13/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
06/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-0	10	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maitland FC vs Edgeworth Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Edgeworth Eagles win (39%). Probabilities: Maitland FC 35%, draw 26%, Edgeworth Eagles 39%.

How many goals are expected in Maitland FC vs Edgeworth Eagles?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Maitland FC 1.25 · Edgeworth Eagles 1.36), with a 60% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Maitland FC vs Edgeworth Eagles?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.