Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 16/08, 06:00

Prediction: Lambton Jaffas vs Newcastle Olympic FC

Team pages: Lambton Jaffas · Newcastle Olympic FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Lambton Jaffas1.86

Newcastle Olympic FC1.48

1X2

46% 23% 30%

Lambton Jaffas Draw Newcastle Olympic FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Lambton Jaffas 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Newcastle Olympic FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Lambton Jaffas 3–1–2 Newcastle Olympic FC (6 last)

Newcastle Olympic FC0-2Lambton Jaffas
Newcastle Olympic FC3-1Lambton Jaffas
Lambton Jaffas0-0Newcastle Olympic FC
Newcastle Olympic FC2-1Lambton Jaffas
Lambton Jaffas1-0Newcastle Olympic FC
Lambton Jaffas1-0Newcastle Olympic FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lambton Jaffas 1473 · Newcastle Olympic FC 1447

	Lambton Jaffas	Draw	Newcastle Olympic FC
Our model	46%	24%	30%
Market	47%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Lambton Jaffas: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lambton Jaffas	Newcastle Olympic FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	2.5 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:49 +2’	1.91	4.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lambton Jaffas 3–1–2 Newcastle Olympic FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Newcastle Olympic FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Lambton Jaffas
06/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Newcastle Olympic FC	3-1 HT 1-1	Lambton Jaffas
05/04/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Lambton Jaffas	0-0 HT 0-0	Newcastle Olympic FC
10/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Newcastle Olympic FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Lambton Jaffas
23/03/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Lambton Jaffas	1-0 HT 1-0	Newcastle Olympic FC
13/08/23 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Lambton Jaffas	1-0 HT 1-0	Newcastle Olympic FC

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	21	14	4	3	51	23	46
2	Weston Workers FC	21	12	4	5	48	33	40
3	Edgeworth Eagles	21	11	6	4	40	29	39
4	Maitland FC	21	12	3	6	38	31	39
5	Belmont Swansea United SC	21	10	5	6	45	41	35
6	Cooks Hill United	21	8	6	7	39	34	30
7	Valentine Phoenix	21	7	4	10	22	39	25
8	Lambton Jaffas	21	6	4	11	36	33	22
9	Newcastle Olympic FC	21	5	6	10	39	38	21
10	Adamstown Rosebud	21	5	6	10	31	43	21
11	Kahibah FC	21	6	2	13	33	49	20
12	Charlestown Azzurri	21	4	2	15	25	54	14

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lambton Jaffas	Newcastle Olympic FC
Belmont Swansea United SC	1-2 L	5-2 W
Cooks Hill United	0-1 L	0-0 D
Maitland FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Weston Workers FC	2-3 L	1-2 L
Valentine Phoenix	1-1 D	1-2 L
Edgeworth Eagles	2-3 L	0-2 L
Adamstown Rosebud	1-1 D	0-2 L
Charlestown Azzurri	3-1 W	7-1 W
Broadmeadow Magic	1-2 L	1-2 L
Kahibah FC	4-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 6 L	2 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Lambton Jaffas (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lambton Jaffas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	0	L
25/07	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
18/07	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
11/07	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-3	3	6	L
27/06	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
23/06	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-3	7	1	L
20/06	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
14/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
31/05	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-2	12	4	L
16/05	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	4-0	6	6	W

Newcastle Olympic FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
26/07	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-2	7	0	L
22/07	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	4-1	5-2	10	1	W
12/07	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	1-2	7	2	L
01/07	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	4-0	7-1	1	4	W
27/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
21/06	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
14/06	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	3-3	8	3	D
30/05	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
17/05	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	1-2	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lambton Jaffas vs Newcastle Olympic FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lambton Jaffas win (46%). Probabilities: Lambton Jaffas 46%, draw 23%, Newcastle Olympic FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Lambton Jaffas vs Newcastle Olympic FC?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Lambton Jaffas 1.86 · Newcastle Olympic FC 1.48), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lambton Jaffas vs Newcastle Olympic FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.