Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 16/08, 06:00

Prediction: Valentine Phoenix vs Weston Workers FC

Team pages: Valentine Phoenix · Weston Workers FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Valentine Phoenix1.14

Weston Workers FC2.22

1X2

18% 20% 62%

Valentine Phoenix Draw Weston Workers FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Valentine Phoenix 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWDLWWLW

Weston Workers FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Valentine Phoenix 3–3 Weston Workers FC (6 last)

Weston Workers FC0-2Valentine Phoenix
Valentine Phoenix0-2Weston Workers FC
Weston Workers FC2-1Valentine Phoenix
Weston Workers FC1-0Valentine Phoenix
Valentine Phoenix2-0Weston Workers FC
Weston Workers FC2-3Valentine Phoenix

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valentine Phoenix 1520 · Weston Workers FC 1508

	Valentine Phoenix	Draw	Weston Workers FC
Our model	18%	21%	61%
Market	19%	19%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valentine Phoenix	Weston Workers FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	2.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	3.7 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.75

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:49 +2’	4.75	4.75	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentine Phoenix 3–0–3 Weston Workers FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Weston Workers FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Valentine Phoenix
10/08/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Valentine Phoenix	0-2 HT 0-1	Weston Workers FC
10/05/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Weston Workers FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Valentine Phoenix
07/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Weston Workers FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Valentine Phoenix
13/04/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Valentine Phoenix	2-0 HT 2-0	Weston Workers FC
02/07/23 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Weston Workers FC	2-3 HT 0-2	Valentine Phoenix

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	21	14	4	3	51	23	46
2	Weston Workers FC	21	12	4	5	48	33	40
3	Edgeworth Eagles	21	11	6	4	40	29	39
4	Maitland FC	21	12	3	6	38	31	39
5	Belmont Swansea United SC	21	10	5	6	45	41	35
6	Cooks Hill United	21	8	6	7	39	34	30
7	Valentine Phoenix	21	7	4	10	22	39	25
8	Lambton Jaffas	21	6	4	11	36	33	22
9	Newcastle Olympic FC	21	5	6	10	39	38	21
10	Adamstown Rosebud	21	5	6	10	31	43	21
11	Kahibah FC	21	6	2	13	33	49	20
12	Charlestown Azzurri	21	4	2	15	25	54	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valentine Phoenix	Weston Workers FC
Adamstown Rosebud	1-2 L	4-2 W
Charlestown Azzurri	1-0 W	5-0 W
Kahibah FC	3-2 W	5-2 W
Cooks Hill United	1-3 L	3-3 D
Lambton Jaffas	1-1 D	3-2 W
Edgeworth Eagles	2-1 W	0-0 D
Maitland FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Broadmeadow Magic	1-1 D	1-5 L
Belmont Swansea United SC	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Weston Workers FC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Valentine Phoenix

DDLWDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
01/08	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
25/07	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
12/07	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-2	3-2	4	4	W
03/07	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-3	2	4	L
27/06	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
20/06	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
13/06	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
06/06	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
16/05	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	3	D

Weston Workers FC

LDDLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	4-2	8	3	W
08/08	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
26/07	Melbourne City Australia Cup	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
18/07	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-0	5-2	7	3	W
15/07	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-0	5-0	5	2	W
11/07	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	3-2	8	6	W
28/06	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-5	5	2	L
20/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	3-3	3	1	D
13/06	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-2	15	1	D
23/05	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valentine Phoenix vs Weston Workers FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Weston Workers FC win (62%). Probabilities: Valentine Phoenix 18%, draw 20%, Weston Workers FC 62%.

How many goals are expected in Valentine Phoenix vs Weston Workers FC?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Valentine Phoenix 1.14 · Weston Workers FC 2.22), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Valentine Phoenix vs Weston Workers FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.