Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 16/08, 06:00

Prediction: Belmont Swansea United SC vs Adamstown Rosebud

Team pages: Belmont Swansea United SC · Adamstown Rosebud

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Belmont Swansea United SC2.14

Adamstown Rosebud1.65

1X2

49% 22% 30%

Belmont Swansea United SC Draw Adamstown Rosebud

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Belmont Swansea United SC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWLLLW

Adamstown Rosebud 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDWLLWDL

Head-to-head

Belmont Swansea United SC 3–1–0 Adamstown Rosebud (4 last)

Adamstown Rosebud2-2Belmont Swansea United SC
Adamstown Rosebud0-2Belmont Swansea United SC
Belmont Swansea United SC5-2Adamstown Rosebud
Adamstown Rosebud1-4Belmont Swansea United SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Belmont Swansea United SC 1501 · Adamstown Rosebud 1493

	Belmont Swansea United SC	Draw	Adamstown Rosebud
Our model	48%	22%	29%
Market	49%	21%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Belmont Swansea United SC: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Belmont Swansea United SC	Adamstown Rosebud
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	1.5 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:48 +3’	1.83	4.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Belmont Swansea United SC 3–1–0 Adamstown Rosebud

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Adamstown Rosebud	2-2 HT 0-2	Belmont Swansea United SC
27/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Adamstown Rosebud	0-2 HT 0-0	Belmont Swansea United SC
13/02/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Belmont Swansea United SC	5-2 HT 1-1	Adamstown Rosebud
25/05/21 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Adamstown Rosebud	1-4 HT 1-1	Belmont Swansea United SC

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	21	14	4	3	51	23	46
2	Weston Workers FC	21	12	4	5	48	33	40
3	Edgeworth Eagles	21	11	6	4	40	29	39
4	Maitland FC	21	12	3	6	38	31	39
5	Belmont Swansea United SC	21	10	5	6	45	41	35
6	Cooks Hill United	21	8	6	7	39	34	30
7	Valentine Phoenix	21	7	4	10	22	39	25
8	Lambton Jaffas	21	6	4	11	36	33	22
9	Newcastle Olympic FC	21	5	6	10	39	38	21
10	Adamstown Rosebud	21	5	6	10	31	43	21
11	Kahibah FC	21	6	2	13	33	49	20
12	Charlestown Azzurri	21	4	2	15	25	54	14

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Belmont Swansea United SC	Adamstown Rosebud
Lambton Jaffas	2-1 W	1-1 D
Edgeworth Eagles	0-2 L	2-3 L
Kahibah FC	1-3 L	2-1 W
Newcastle Olympic FC	2-5 L	2-0 W
Charlestown Azzurri	3-1 W	2-0 W
Broadmeadow Magic	1-0 W	1-5 L
Weston Workers FC	2-2 D	2-4 L
Cooks Hill United	3-1 W	2-2 D
Maitland FC	1-2 L	1-3 L
Valentine Phoenix	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Belmont Swansea United SC (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Belmont Swansea United SC

DLWDWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-1	2	0	W
02/08	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
26/07	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
22/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-4	2-5	2	1	L
27/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-0	3-1	3	6	W
20/06	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
13/06	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	1	D
05/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	3-1	12	4	W
30/05	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
16/05	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	3	D

Adamstown Rosebud

WWLDWLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	2-4	9	3	L
08/08	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
01/08	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
11/07	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-3	0	1	L
27/06	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	2-3	1	1	L
24/06	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
20/06	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
13/06	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-5	2	3	L
30/05	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-0	2-0	5	2	W
16/05	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	2-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Belmont Swansea United SC vs Adamstown Rosebud?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Belmont Swansea United SC win (49%). Probabilities: Belmont Swansea United SC 49%, draw 22%, Adamstown Rosebud 30%.

How many goals are expected in Belmont Swansea United SC vs Adamstown Rosebud?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Belmont Swansea United SC 2.14 · Adamstown Rosebud 1.65), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Belmont Swansea United SC vs Adamstown Rosebud?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.