Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 03/08, 04:30
Prediction: The Town vs Austin FC II
Team pages: The Town · Austin FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
The Town1.39
Austin FC II1.71
1X2
The Town
Draw
Austin FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
The Town
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Austin FC II
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
The Town
2–1–2
Austin FC II
(5 last)
- The Town1-2Austin FC II
- Austin FC II3-4The Town
- The Town0-0Austin FC II
- The Town0-2Austin FC II
- Austin FC II0-1The Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · The Town 1466 · Austin FC II 1596
| The Town | Draw | Austin FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 26% | 44% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austin FC II (rating 1466 vs 1596).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Town | Austin FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 2.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.5 | 2.1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Town 2–1–2 Austin FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Austin FC II |
| 06/10/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 3-4 HT 3-2 | The Town |
| 21/04/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 13/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 20/05/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | The Town |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 44 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 28 | 38 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 32 | 34 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 33 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 33 | 30 |
| 8 | Minnesota United FC II | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 29 |
| 9 | The Town | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 23 | 28 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 29 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 52 | 19 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 49 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 42 | 12 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | The Town | Austin FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City II | 6-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
Austin FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 22/06 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 18/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Town vs Austin FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Austin FC II win (44%). Probabilities: The Town 31%, draw 25%, Austin FC II 44%.
How many goals are expected in The Town vs Austin FC II?
The model expects 3.1 goals (The Town 1.39 · Austin FC II 1.71), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in The Town vs Austin FC II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.