Football · Chile Segunda · 29/08, 22:00
Prediction: Provincial Osorno vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Team pages: Provincial Osorno · CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Provincial Osorno1.45
CD Trasandino de Los Andes0.77
1X2
Provincial Osorno
Draw
CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Provincial Osorno
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
CD Trasandino de Los Andes
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Provincial Osorno
2–1–3
CD Trasandino de Los Andes
(6 last)
- CD Trasandino de Los Andes3-1Provincial Osorno
- Provincial Osorno3-1CD Trasandino de Los Andes
- CD Trasandino de Los Andes4-2Provincial Osorno
- Provincial Osorno1-0CD Trasandino de Los Andes
- CD Trasandino de Los Andes1-1Provincial Osorno
- Provincial Osorno1-2CD Trasandino de Los Andes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Provincial Osorno 1537 · CD Trasandino de Los Andes 1525
| Provincial Osorno | Draw | CD Trasandino de Los Andes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 29% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CD Trasandino de Los Andes: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Provincial Osorno | CD Trasandino de Los Andes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Provincial Osorno 2–1–3 CD Trasandino de Los Andes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/25 Chile Segunda | CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Provincial Osorno |
| 15/03/25 Chile Segunda | Provincial Osorno | 3-1 HT 0-0 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes |
| 20/07/24 Chile Segunda | CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 4-2 HT 4-0 | Provincial Osorno |
| 09/03/24 Chile Segunda | Provincial Osorno | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes |
| 16/07/23 Chile Segunda | CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Provincial Osorno |
| 05/03/23 Chile Segunda | Provincial Osorno | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportes Linares | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Santiago City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Provincial Osorno | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Concon National | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Colchagua CD | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Brujas de Salamanca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Provincial Osorno | CD Trasandino de Los Andes |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Linares | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Concon National | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| General Velásquez | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Colchagua CD | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Provincial Osorno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 08/08 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
CD Trasandino de Los Andes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Colchagua CD Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 10/08 | Deportes Linares Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 11/07 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Provincial Osorno vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Provincial Osorno win (53%). Probabilities: Provincial Osorno 53%, draw 27%, CD Trasandino de Los Andes 20%.
How many goals are expected in Provincial Osorno vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Provincial Osorno 1.45 · CD Trasandino de Los Andes 0.77), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Provincial Osorno vs CD Trasandino de Los Andes?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.