Football · Chile Segunda · 06/09, 20:00

Prediction: General Velásquez vs Real Juventud San Joaquin

Team pages: General Velásquez · Real Juventud San Joaquin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

General Velásquez1.59

Real Juventud San Joaquin0.93

1X2

52% 27% 21%

General Velásquez Draw Real Juventud San Joaquin

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

General Velásquez 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWDLLWD

Real Juventud San Joaquin 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLLDDL

Head-to-head

General Velásquez 2–3–1 Real Juventud San Joaquin (6 last)

General Velásquez2-1Real Juventud San Joaquin
Real Juventud San Joaquin1-2General Velásquez
Real Juventud San Joaquin1-1General Velásquez
General Velásquez1-1Real Juventud San Joaquin
Real Juventud San Joaquin2-0General Velásquez
General Velásquez1-1Real Juventud San Joaquin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · General Velásquez 1512 · Real Juventud San Joaquin 1439

	General Velásquez	Draw	Real Juventud San Joaquin
Our model	52%	27%	21%
Market	52%	27%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours General Velásquez (rating 1512 vs 1439).
H2H favours General Velásquez: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	General Velásquez	Real Juventud San Joaquin
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.2	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.8	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.40

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.75▲	Bet365 1.75
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
2	4.75 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:03 +5’	1.65	3.50	4.75
07:47 +5’	1.75▲	3.40▼	4.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · General Velásquez 2–3–1 Real Juventud San Joaquin

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/10/25 Chile Segunda	General Velásquez	2-1 HT 2-1	Real Juventud San Joaquin
25/05/25 Chile Segunda	Real Juventud San Joaquin	1-2 HT 1-0	General Velásquez
14/07/24 Chile Segunda	Real Juventud San Joaquin	1-1 HT 1-1	General Velásquez
03/03/24 Chile Segunda	General Velásquez	1-1 HT 0-0	Real Juventud San Joaquin
14/10/23 Chile Segunda	Real Juventud San Joaquin	2-0 HT 0-0	General Velásquez
04/06/23 Chile Segunda	General Velásquez	1-1 HT 1-0	Real Juventud San Joaquin

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Rengo Unido	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
2	Santiago Morning	4	1	3	0	5	4	6
3	Lota Schwager	4	1	2	1	4	3	5
4	General Velásquez	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
5	Provincial Ovalle	3	0	2	1	1	2	2
6	Real Juventud San Joaquin	3	0	2	1	5	8	2
7	AC Colina	3	0	1	2	1	3	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	General Velásquez	Real Juventud San Joaquin
CD Rengo Unido	1-1 D	2-5 L
Provincial Ovalle	1-0 W	1-1 D
CD Trasandino de Los Andes	0-1 L	1-2 L
Santiago Morning	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: General Velásquez (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

General Velásquez

DWWLWDLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
16/08	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
08/08	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	1-2	1-3	5	7	L
01/08	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
26/07	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	7	10	D
12/07	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	0-0	2-0	10	3	W
04/07	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-1	0-3	10	5	L
28/06	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
07/06	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
31/05	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Real Juventud San Joaquin

LDLWDLLDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	1-4	2-5	4	7	L
22/08	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
10/08	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	1-2	2-2	4	6	D
12/07	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-2	1-5	11	2	L
05/07	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-0	1-2	7	7	L
28/06	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
21/06	Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda	3-0	6-1	3	2	W
07/06	Concon National Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	1	8	L
25/05	Santiago City Chile Segunda	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
10/05	AC Colina Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in General Velásquez vs Real Juventud San Joaquin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a General Velásquez win (52%). Probabilities: General Velásquez 52%, draw 27%, Real Juventud San Joaquin 21%.

How many goals are expected in General Velásquez vs Real Juventud San Joaquin?

The model expects 2.52 goals (General Velásquez 1.59 · Real Juventud San Joaquin 0.93), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in General Velásquez vs Real Juventud San Joaquin?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.