Prediction: Provincial Ovalle vs AC Colina
Team pages: Provincial Ovalle · AC Colina
- Provincial Ovalle2-1AC Colina
- AC Colina2-0Provincial Ovalle
- AC Colina2-1Provincial Ovalle
- Provincial Ovalle1-0AC Colina
- Provincial Ovalle2-0AC Colina
- AC Colina1-0Provincial Ovalle
| Provincial Ovalle | Draw | AC Colina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Provincial Ovalle | AC Colina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.7 | 3.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Provincial Ovalle 3–0–3 AC Colina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 Chile Segunda | Provincial Ovalle | 2-1 HT 1-1 | AC Colina |
| 02/05/26 Chile Segunda | AC Colina | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Provincial Ovalle |
| 21/10/23 Chile Tercera | AC Colina | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Provincial Ovalle |
| 26/08/23 Chile Tercera | Provincial Ovalle | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AC Colina |
| 17/06/23 Chile Tercera | Provincial Ovalle | 2-0 HT 0-0 | AC Colina |
| 29/04/23 Chile Tercera | AC Colina | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Provincial Ovalle |
Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Rengo Unido | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Santiago Morning | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Lota Schwager | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 4 | General Velásquez | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Provincial Ovalle | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 6 | Real Juventud San Joaquin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| 7 | AC Colina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Provincial Ovalle | AC Colina |
|---|---|---|
| Santiago Morning | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Real Juventud San Joaquin | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Santiago City | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| CD Trasandino de Los Andes | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Concon National | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Brujas de Salamanca | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Provincial Ovalle (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Provincial Ovalle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | General Velásquez Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 04/07 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 26/06 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
0-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 08/06 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | AC Colina Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
AC Colina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Lota Schwager Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 17/08 | Santiago Morning Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Provincial Ovalle Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 27/06 | Concon National Chile Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Santiago City Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Real Juventud San Joaquin Chile Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Provincial Ovalle vs AC Colina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Provincial Ovalle win (37%). Probabilities: Provincial Ovalle 37%, draw 29%, AC Colina 34%.
How many goals are expected in Provincial Ovalle vs AC Colina?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Provincial Ovalle 1.2 · AC Colina 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Provincial Ovalle vs AC Colina?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.