Football · Chile Segunda · 05/09, 22:00

Prediction: Deportes Linares vs Colchagua CD

Team pages: Deportes Linares · Colchagua CD

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Deportes Linares1.34

Colchagua CD0.86

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Deportes Linares Draw Colchagua CD

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportes Linares 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWDL

Colchagua CD 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDDDWLLLDL

Head-to-head

Deportes Linares 2–1–1 Colchagua CD (4 last)

Deportes Linares4-0Colchagua CD
Colchagua CD3-0Deportes Linares
Deportes Linares1-1Colchagua CD
Colchagua CD0-3Deportes Linares

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Linares 1540 · Colchagua CD 1464

	Deportes Linares	Draw	Colchagua CD
Our model	47%	31%	23%
Market	49%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Linares (rating 1540 vs 1464).
H2H favours Deportes Linares: 2-1-1.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportes Linares	Colchagua CD
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	2.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.5	5 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.40

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.83▲	Pinn 1.89 ★
X	3.50 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.46
2	4.33 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:01 +5’	1.65	3.50	4.33
22:51 +6’	1.83▲	3.40▼	3.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:56 +1’	1.89	3.46	3.47

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Linares 2–1–1 Colchagua CD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/26 Chile Segunda	Deportes Linares	4-0 HT 1-0	Colchagua CD
10/05/26 Chile Segunda	Colchagua CD	3-0 HT 2-0	Deportes Linares
06/02/21 Chile Segunda	Deportes Linares	1-1 HT 1-0	Colchagua CD
23/12/20 Chile Segunda	Colchagua CD	0-3 HT 0-1	Deportes Linares

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Promotion Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportes Linares	4	2	1	1	5	5	7
2	Concon National	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
3	CD Trasandino de Los Andes	4	1	2	1	6	5	5
4	Santiago City	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	Provincial Osorno	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
6	Brujas de Salamanca	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
7	Colchagua CD	3	0	1	2	0	2	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportes Linares	Colchagua CD
Santiago City	1-1 D	0-1 L
Provincial Osorno	1-0 W	0-0 D
CD Trasandino de Los Andes	2-1 W	0-0 D
Santiago Morning	1-0 W	1-1 D
CD Rengo Unido	3-1 W	1-0 W
Lota Schwager	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Linares (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Linares

WDLWWWWWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Concon National Chile Segunda	0-0	1-3	5	6	L
22/08	Santiago City Chile Segunda	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
16/08	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	10	W
10/08	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
12/07	Colchagua CD Chile Segunda	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
28/06	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
20/06	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	1-0	3-1	12	7	W
14/06	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
06/06	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
30/05	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	2-0	2-0	1	6	W

Colchagua CD

WDDDWLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Brujas de Salamanca Chile Segunda	0-0	0-1	7	6	L
22/08	CD Trasandino de Los Andes Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
09/08	Santiago City Chile Segunda	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
12/07	Deportes Linares Chile Segunda	0-1	0-4	7	3	L
05/07	Lota Schwager Chile Segunda	0-0	0-2	4	10	L
27/06	CD Rengo Unido Chile Segunda	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
21/06	Provincial Osorno Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
31/05	General Velásquez Chile Segunda	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
24/05	Santiago Morning Chile Segunda	1-1	1-1	12	6	D
10/05	Deportes Linares Chile Segunda	2-0	3-0	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Linares vs Colchagua CD?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Linares win (48%). Probabilities: Deportes Linares 48%, draw 28%, Colchagua CD 24%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Linares vs Colchagua CD?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Deportes Linares 1.34 · Colchagua CD 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Linares vs Colchagua CD?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.