Football · Chile Segunda · 06/09, 21:00

Prediction: CD Rengo Unido vs Santiago Morning

Team pages: CD Rengo Unido · Santiago Morning

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
CD Rengo Unido1.06
Santiago Morning1.21
1X2
32% 29% 39%
CD Rengo Unido Draw Santiago Morning
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Rengo Unido 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDLLWLWWDW
Santiago Morning 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DDLDLLDWDD
Head-to-head
CD Rengo Unido 1–1 Santiago Morning (2 last)
  • CD Rengo Unido3-1Santiago Morning
  • Santiago Morning1-0CD Rengo Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Rengo Unido 1513 · Santiago Morning 1480
CD Rengo UnidoDrawSantiago Morning
Our model31%31%38%
Market33%28%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD Rengo UnidoSantiago Morning
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.10.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 4.12.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.25 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Rengo Unido 101 Santiago Morning

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/07/26
Chile Segunda
CD Rengo Unido3-1
HT 0-1
Santiago Morning
03/05/26
Chile Segunda
Santiago Morning1-0
HT 1-0
CD Rengo Unido

Standings · Chile Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Rengo Unido 4310 8310
2 Santiago Morning 4130 546
3 Lota Schwager 4121 435
4 General Velásquez 4121 455
5 Real Juventud San Joaquin 4031 693
6 Provincial Ovalle 3021 122
7 AC Colina 3012 131

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD Rengo UnidoSantiago Morning
Real Juventud San Joaquin 5-2 W 2-2 D
General Velásquez 1-1 D 0-1 L
Lota Schwager 1-0 W 1-1 D
AC Colina 1-0 W 2-1 W
Colchagua CD 0-1 L 1-1 D
Deportes Linares 1-3 L 0-1 L
Provincial Osorno 0-0 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CD Rengo Unido (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Rengo Unido

DDLLWLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
4-1 5-2 57 W
22/08 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-1 43 D
16/08 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-0 27 W
08/08 AC Colina
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-0 36 W
12/07 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-2 43 L
04/07 Santiago Morning
Chile Segunda
0-1 3-1 86 W
27/06 Colchagua CD
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 24 L
20/06 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
0-1 1-3 57 L
06/06 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
0-0 1-1 55 D
23/05 Provincial Osorno
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 37 D

Santiago Morning

DDLDLLDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Provincial Ovalle
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 44 D
22/08 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
0-1 1-1 D
17/08 AC Colina
Chile Segunda
1-1 2-1 24 W
10/08 Real Juventud San Joaquin
Chile Segunda
2-1 2-2 46 D
04/07 CD Rengo Unido
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-3 46 L
28/06 Deportes Linares
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 75 L
21/06 Lota Schwager
Chile Segunda
1-0 1-1 58 D
07/06 General Velásquez
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-1 36 L
30/05 Provincial Osorno
Chile Segunda
0-0 0-0 52 D
24/05 Colchagua CD
Chile Segunda
1-1 1-1 26 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Rengo Unido vs Santiago Morning?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Santiago Morning win (39%). Probabilities: CD Rengo Unido 32%, draw 29%, Santiago Morning 39%.

How many goals are expected in CD Rengo Unido vs Santiago Morning?

The model expects 2.27 goals (CD Rengo Unido 1.06 · Santiago Morning 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Rengo Unido vs Santiago Morning?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.