Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Bradford vs Rochdale

Team pages: Rochdale

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
Bradford2.32
Rochdale1.07
1X2
64% 20% 15%
Bradford Draw Rochdale
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bradford 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLLWWLWD
Rochdale 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWDLDDLD
Head-to-head
Bradford 2–1–3 Rochdale (6 last)
  • Rochdale1-0Bradford
  • Rochdale0-3Bradford
  • Bradford1-2Rochdale
  • Rochdale0-0Bradford
  • Bradford2-0Rochdale
  • Bradford1-2Rochdale
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bradford 1531 · Rochdale 1506
BradfordDrawRochdale
Our model64%20%15%
Market64%20%15%
Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Rochdale: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BradfordRochdale
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.21.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 6.31.2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 02.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bradford 213 Rochdale

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/07/23
Club Friendly List
Rochdale1-0
HT 0-0
Bradford
15/04/23
England League 2
Rochdale0-3
HT 0-1
Bradford
10/01/23
England League 2
Bradford1-2
HT 1-0
Rochdale
22/01/22
England League 2
Rochdale0-0
HT 0-0
Bradford
02/10/21
England League 2
Bradford2-0
HT 1-0
Rochdale
12/11/19
England EFL Trophy
Bradford1-2
HT 1-2
Rochdale

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBradfordRochdale
Halifax 6-1 W 2-3 L
FC United of Manchester 2-1 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bradford (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bradford

DDWLLWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Salford City
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-2 80 D
29/07 Preston
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-2 32 W
17/07 Accrington Stanley
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-1 60 L
11/07 Halifax
UK Friendlies
4-1 6-1 10 W
04/07 FC United of Manchester
UK Friendlies
0-0 2-1 150 W
14/05 Bolton
England League 1
0-0 0-1 81 L
09/05 Bolton
England League 1
0-0 0-1 42 L
02/05 Exeter
England League 1
1-0 2-1 74 W
25/04 Bolton
England League 1
0-0 1-1 64 D
21/04 Plymouth
England League 1
0-1 1-1 56 D

Rochdale

WWDWDLDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Tranmere
England EFL Cup
1-1 2-2 33 D
28/07 Halifax
UK Friendlies
2-2 2-3 24 L
25/07 Farnham
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-2 81 D
19/07 Al-Rayyan SC
World Club Friendlies
0-1 3-3 40 D
14/07 FC United of Manchester
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-2 31 L
10/05 Boreham Wood
England National League
0-1 2-2 32 D
03/05 Scunthorpe
England National League
1-0 2-1 56 W
25/04 York
England National League
0-0 1-1 24 D
18/04 Braintree Town
England National League
1-0 2-1 34 W
11/04 Wealdstone
England National League
0-0 2-1 13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bradford vs Rochdale?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bradford win (64%). Probabilities: Bradford 64%, draw 20%, Rochdale 15%.

How many goals are expected in Bradford vs Rochdale?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Bradford 2.32 · Rochdale 1.07), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bradford vs Rochdale?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.