Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 18:30

Prediction: Cheltenham vs Charlton

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Cheltenham1.06
Charlton1.94
1X2
19% 24% 57%
Cheltenham Draw Charlton
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cheltenham 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LDWWWLLLWL
Charlton 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DLWLWDWLWL
Head-to-head
Cheltenham 2–2–2 Charlton (6 last)
  • Cheltenham1-3Charlton
  • Charlton2-1Cheltenham
  • Cheltenham2-2Charlton
  • Charlton0-1Cheltenham
  • Cheltenham1-1Charlton
  • Charlton1-2Cheltenham
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cheltenham 1479 · Charlton 1493
CheltenhamDrawCharlton
Our model19%24%57%
Market19%24%56%
Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CheltenhamCharlton
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.61 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.80.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.21.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.2 / 01.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cheltenham 222 Charlton

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/03/24
England League 1
Cheltenham1-3
HT 0-1
Charlton
28/11/23
England League 1
Charlton2-1
HT 1-1
Cheltenham
07/05/23
England League 1
Cheltenham2-2
HT 0-1
Charlton
02/12/22
England League 1
Charlton0-1
HT 0-0
Cheltenham
15/01/22
England League 1
Cheltenham1-1
HT 1-0
Charlton
11/09/21
England League 1
Charlton1-2
HT 0-2
Cheltenham

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCheltenhamCharlton
Colchester 1-4 L 2-0 W
Gillingham 2-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Charlton (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cheltenham

LDWWWLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Milton Keynes Dons
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-2 01 L
18/07 Evesham United
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-0 30 W
02/05 Colchester
England League 2
0-3 1-4 92 L
25/04 Bristol Rovers
England League 2
0-2 0-4 76 L
21/04 Tranmere
England League 2
1-0 1-3 41 L
18/04 Newport County
England League 2
0-0 1-0 25 W
14/04 Gillingham
England League 2
0-1 2-1 81 W
11/04 Walsall
England League 2
0-0 4-0 53 W
06/04 Cambridge Utd
England League 2
0-1 1-1 31 D
03/04 Chesterfield
England League 2
0-1 0-1 12 L

Charlton

DLWLWDWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Reading
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-3 L
28/07 Colchester
UK Friendlies
2-0 2-0 30 W
25/07 AFC Wimbledon
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-2 52 L
18/07 Gillingham
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 40 W
10/07 NK Maribor
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 61 D
03/07 Dartford
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 80 W
02/05 Swansea
England Championship
0-0 1-3 40 L
25/04 Hull
England Championship
1-1 2-1 53 W
22/04 Ipswich
England Championship
1-1 1-2 14 L
18/04 Sheff Wed
England Championship
0-0 1-1 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cheltenham vs Charlton?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Charlton win (57%). Probabilities: Cheltenham 19%, draw 24%, Charlton 57%.

How many goals are expected in Cheltenham vs Charlton?

The model expects 3 goals (Cheltenham 1.06 · Charlton 1.94), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cheltenham vs Charlton?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.