Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 18:30
Prediction: Rotherham vs West Brom
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Rotherham0.83
West Brom1.84
1X2
Rotherham
Draw
West Brom
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Rotherham
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
West Brom
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rotherham
1–1–4
West Brom
(6 last)
- West Brom2-0Rotherham
- Rotherham0-2West Brom
- Rotherham3-1West Brom
- West Brom3-0Rotherham
- Rotherham1-1West Brom
- West Brom2-1Rotherham
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rotherham 1499 · West Brom 1579
| Rotherham | Draw | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 24% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 20% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Brom (rating 1499 vs 1579).
- H2H favours West Brom: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rotherham | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.9 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3 | 1.8 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rotherham 1–1–4 West Brom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/24 England Championship | West Brom | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rotherham |
| 12/12/23 England Championship | Rotherham | 0-2 HT 0-0 | West Brom |
| 07/04/23 England Championship | Rotherham | 3-1 HT 1-1 | West Brom |
| 17/12/22 England Championship | West Brom | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Rotherham |
| 23/07/19 Club Friendly List | Rotherham | 1-1 HT 1-0 | West Brom |
| 27/04/19 England Championship | West Brom | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Rotherham |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rotherham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Darlington 1883 UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Sheff Utd UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Alfreton Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Matlock Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Emley AFC Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/07 | Parkgate Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Wycombe England League 1 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Reading England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/04 | Luton England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
West Brom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Peterborough UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Shrewsbury UK Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Bromley UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Sheff Wed Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Sheff Wed England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Ipswich England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/04 | Watford England Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Preston England Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 10/04 | Millwall England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | Blackburn England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rotherham vs West Brom?
According to our model, the most likely result is an West Brom win (61%). Probabilities: Rotherham 17%, draw 22%, West Brom 61%.
How many goals are expected in Rotherham vs West Brom?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Rotherham 0.83 · West Brom 1.84), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rotherham vs West Brom?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.