Prediction: Barnsley vs Wigan
- Barnsley1-1Wigan
- Wigan1-1Barnsley
- Wigan1-1Barnsley
- Barnsley0-1Wigan
- Wigan1-1Barnsley
- Barnsley1-1Wigan
| Barnsley | Draw | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 27% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barnsley (rating 1520 vs 1480).
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barnsley | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barnsley 0–5–1 Wigan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 England League 1 | Barnsley | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Wigan |
| 01/01/26 England League 1 | Wigan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Barnsley |
| 29/03/25 England League 1 | Wigan | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Barnsley |
| 23/11/24 England League 1 | Barnsley | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Wigan |
| 13/08/24 England EFL Cup | Wigan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Barnsley |
| 01/01/24 England League 1 | Barnsley | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Wigan |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barnsley | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Stevenage | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Port Vale | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Rotherham | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wigan (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barnsley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Lincoln City UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Scarborough Athletic UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | York UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Luton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Wigan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Grimsby UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 31/07 | Southport UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Port Vale UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/04 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barnsley vs Wigan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barnsley win (38%). Probabilities: Barnsley 38%, draw 28%, Wigan 34%.
How many goals are expected in Barnsley vs Wigan?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Barnsley 1.37 · Wigan 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Wigan?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.