Football · England EFL Cup · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: Mansfield vs Sheff Utd

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Mansfield1.34
Sheff Utd2
1X2
24% 25% 51%
Mansfield Draw Sheff Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mansfield 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DDWWDWWLWL
Sheff Utd 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLLWWDWWWD
Head-to-head
Mansfield 1–1–1 Sheff Utd (3 last)
  • Sheff Utd3-4Mansfield
  • Mansfield0-0Sheff Utd
  • Sheff Utd2-1Mansfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mansfield 1542 · Sheff Utd 1554
MansfieldDrawSheff Utd
Our model25%24%52%
Market23%26%51%
Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MansfieldSheff Utd
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.51.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.30.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.52.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mansfield 111 Sheff Utd

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
11/01/26
England FA Cup
Sheff Utd3-4
HT 1-2
Mansfield
21/07/18
Club Friendly List
Mansfield0-0
HT 0-0
Sheff Utd
13/08/14
England EFL Cup
Sheff Utd2-1
HT 0-0
Mansfield

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMansfieldSheff Utd
Derby 1-3 L 2-1 W
Huddersfield 4-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mansfield

DDWWDWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Derby
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-3 170 L
28/07 Alfreton Town
UK Friendlies
2-0 4-0 30 W
18/07 Barrow
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-4 L
14/07 Retford Utd
Club Friendly List
2-1 2-1 W
02/05 Cardiff
England League 1
3-0 5-4 63 W
28/04 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 0-0 72 D
25/04 Huddersfield
England League 1
2-0 4-1 33 W
21/04 Stockport
England League 1
0-0 1-0 58 W
18/04 Luton
England League 1
2-1 2-2 34 D
14/04 Leyton Orient
England League 1
0-0 0-0 81 D

Sheff Utd

WLLWWDWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Bochum
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 33 D
25/07 Rotherham
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 130 W
21/07 Huddersfield
UK Friendlies
0-1 3-1 10 W
17/07 Levante
Club Friendly List
2-0 2-1 W
11/07 Chesterfield
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 82 D
04/07 Halifax
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-1 40 W
02/05 Derby
England Championship
0-1 2-1 47 W
25/04 Preston
England Championship
0-2 2-3 103 L
22/04 Blackburn
England Championship
0-3 1-3 26 L
18/04 Watford
England Championship
0-0 2-0 56 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mansfield vs Sheff Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheff Utd win (51%). Probabilities: Mansfield 24%, draw 25%, Sheff Utd 51%.

How many goals are expected in Mansfield vs Sheff Utd?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Mansfield 1.34 · Sheff Utd 2), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mansfield vs Sheff Utd?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.