Prediction: South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC
Team pages: South Melbourne · Fremantle City FC
| South Melbourne | Draw | Fremantle City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| Market | 76% | 15% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| South Melbourne | Fremantle City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 2.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.8 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South Melbourne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/07 | Adelaide United Australia Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/07 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria |
3-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Hume City Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Fremantle City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Perth SC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 22/07 | Maitland FC Australia Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Perth RedStar FC Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Sorrento Australia Western Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Bayswater City Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Western Knights Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | Dianella White Eagles Australia Western Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | Olympic Kingsway Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Balcatta Australia Western Australia Premier League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Armadale Australia Western Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a South Melbourne win (76%). Probabilities: South Melbourne 76%, draw 16%, Fremantle City FC 9%.
How many goals are expected in South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC?
The model expects 3.23 goals (South Melbourne 2.5 · Fremantle City FC 0.73), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.

