Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 02/08, 21:30
Prediction: Real Frontera vs Atletico El Vigia
Team pages: Real Frontera · Atletico El Vigia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Real Frontera1.48
Atletico El Vigia1.2
1X2
Real Frontera
Draw
Atletico El Vigia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Frontera
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Atletico El Vigia
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Frontera
4–2
Atletico El Vigia
(6 last)
- Atletico El Vigia0-1Real Frontera
- Real Frontera3-1Atletico El Vigia
- Atletico El Vigia1-2Real Frontera
- Real Frontera0-1Atletico El Vigia
- Real Frontera0-1Atletico El Vigia
- Atletico El Vigia1-3Real Frontera
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Frontera 1437 · Atletico El Vigia 1416
| Real Frontera | Draw | Atletico El Vigia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Real Frontera: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Frontera | Atletico El Vigia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 0.6 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Frontera 4–0–2 Atletico El Vigia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Real Frontera |
| 07/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Real Frontera | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico El Vigia |
| 05/10/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Real Frontera |
| 23/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Real Frontera | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico El Vigia |
| 02/07/25 Venezuela Cup | Real Frontera | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico El Vigia |
| 29/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Atletico El Vigia | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Real Frontera |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urena SC | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 36 |
| 2 | CD Lara | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 35 |
| 3 | Barquisimeto | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 16 | 35 |
| 4 | Yaracuyanos | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 25 |
| 5 | Zamora II | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Barinas | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 37 | 23 |
| 7 | Academia Puerto Cabello II | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 8 | Real Frontera | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 37 | 11 |
| 9 | Atletico El Vigia | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36 | 11 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Frontera | Atletico El Vigia |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Barinas | 1-3 L | 1-7 L |
| Urena SC | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Barquisimeto | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Zamora II | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Academia Puerto Cabello II | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| CD Lara | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Yaracuyanos | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico El Vigia (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Frontera
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-3 | 1-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/06 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-2 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
Atletico El Vigia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/06 | Zamora Venezuela Cup |
1-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-7 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Frontera vs Atletico El Vigia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Frontera win (43%). Probabilities: Real Frontera 43%, draw 28%, Atletico El Vigia 30%.
How many goals are expected in Real Frontera vs Atletico El Vigia?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Real Frontera 1.48 · Atletico El Vigia 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Frontera vs Atletico El Vigia?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.