Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 09/08, 21:30

Prediction: Mineros vs Monagas II

Team pages: Mineros · Monagas II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Mineros1.2

Monagas II1.32

1X2

32% 30% 38%

Mineros Draw Monagas II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Mineros 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLDDWD

Monagas II 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDDLWWWD

Head-to-head

Mineros 2–2–2 Monagas II (6 last)

Monagas II2-2Mineros
Mineros1-2Monagas II
Mineros1-2Monagas II
Monagas II1-1Mineros
Mineros2-1Monagas II
Monagas II0-4Mineros

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mineros 1445 · Monagas II 1569

	Mineros	Draw	Monagas II
Our model	32%	29%	38%
Market	32%	30%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monagas II (rating 1445 vs 1569).
Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mineros	Monagas II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.4	6.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.00

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.08

2 (0)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +4’	2.80	3.00	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mineros 2–2–2 Monagas II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	2-2 HT 0-1	Mineros
14/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Mineros	1-2 HT 1-1	Monagas II
13/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Mineros	1-2 HT 0-1	Monagas II
02/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	1-1 HT 0-1	Mineros
07/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Mineros	2-1 HT 1-0	Monagas II
21/04/25 Venezuela Segunda Division	Monagas II	0-4 HT 0-3	Mineros

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Monagas II	15	8	4	3	22	15	28
2	Deportivo Miranda FC	16	8	4	4	13	9	28
3	Aragua	16	6	5	5	14	12	23
4	Dynamo Puerto FC	16	5	7	4	18	16	22
5	Bolivar SC	16	6	3	7	15	17	21
6	CS Maritimo de La Guaira	14	5	5	4	16	13	20
7	Atletico Avila	15	1	9	5	8	14	12
8	Mineros	16	1	7	8	11	21	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mineros	Monagas II
Dynamo Puerto FC	0-0 D	2-2 D
Bolivar SC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Atletico Avila	1-1 D	2-0 W
CS Maritimo de La Guaira	0-1 L	2-2 D
Aragua	0-2 L	2-1 W
Deportivo Miranda FC	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Monagas II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Mineros

LDDLLLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
26/07	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
24/06	Bolivar SC Venezuela Cup	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
07/06	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
30/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
23/05	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	0-2	5	7	L
16/05	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
09/05	Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-2	1	5	D
03/05	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
25/04	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-3	7	6	L

Monagas II

DWWDDLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-1	2-2	4	9	D
06/06	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
31/05	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
22/05	Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
17/05	Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-2	4	9	L
09/05	Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
02/05	CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-2	0	7	D
26/04	Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	3-2	5	5	W
12/04	Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	1	9	W
05/04	Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mineros vs Monagas II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Monagas II win (38%). Probabilities: Mineros 32%, draw 30%, Monagas II 38%.

How many goals are expected in Mineros vs Monagas II?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Mineros 1.2 · Monagas II 1.32), with a 58% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Mineros vs Monagas II?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.