Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 03/08, 21:30

Prediction: Zamora II vs Urena SC

Team pages: Zamora II · Urena SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Zamora II1.23

Urena SC1.32

1X2

34% 28% 38%

Zamora II Draw Urena SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Zamora II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWLWWL

Urena SC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Zamora II 2–2 Urena SC (4 last)

Urena SC0-2Zamora II
Zamora II1-2Urena SC
Urena SC3-4Zamora II
Urena SC2-0Zamora II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zamora II 1505 · Urena SC 1585

	Zamora II	Draw	Urena SC
Our model	33%	29%	37%
Market	34%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Urena SC (rating 1505 vs 1585).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zamora II	Urena SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.9	1.4 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.6	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.20

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:19 +6’	2.63	3.20	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora II 2–0–2 Urena SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Urena SC	0-2 HT 0-1	Zamora II
08/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	1-2 HT 0-1	Urena SC
27/08/17 Venezuela Segunda Division	Urena SC	3-4 HT 1-3	Zamora II
21/05/17 Venezuela Segunda Division	Urena SC	2-0 HT 0-0	Zamora II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urena SC	18	10	6	2	30	16	36
2	CD Lara	18	10	5	3	29	17	35
3	Barquisimeto	18	10	5	3	28	16	35
4	Yaracuyanos	17	7	4	6	21	18	25
5	Zamora II	17	6	6	5	26	23	24
6	Atletico Barinas	18	7	2	9	35	37	23
7	Academia Puerto Cabello II	18	6	3	9	22	23	21
8	Real Frontera	18	3	2	13	18	37	11
9	Atletico El Vigia	18	2	5	11	14	36	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zamora II	Urena SC
Barquisimeto	1-2 L	0-0 D
Academia Puerto Cabello II	2-1 W	1-0 W
Real Frontera	2-0 W	5-1 W
CD Lara	1-4 L	1-0 W
Yaracuyanos	3-2 W	1-1 D
Atletico El Vigia	1-1 D	2-1 W
Atletico Barinas	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Urena SC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Zamora II

LDWDDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	9	L
05/06	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-1	2	8	W
30/05	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	2-0	9	1	W
24/05	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-4	5	4	L
20/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	3-2	3	9	W
16/05	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
09/05	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	1-2	2-2	2	6	D
03/05	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/04	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	2	12	D
11/04	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-2	7	6	L

Urena SC

WLDWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
25/07	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	3-0	5-1	4	6	W
24/06	CD Lara Venezuela Cup	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
06/06	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-2	2	6	W
31/05	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
24/05	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
20/05	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
09/05	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
03/05	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/04	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	3-0	4	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zamora II vs Urena SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Urena SC win (38%). Probabilities: Zamora II 34%, draw 28%, Urena SC 38%.

How many goals are expected in Zamora II vs Urena SC?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Zamora II 1.23 · Urena SC 1.32), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Zamora II vs Urena SC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.