Football · Tanzania Premier League · 14/08, 13:00

Prediction: Pamba SC vs Dodoma Jiji FC

Team pages: Pamba SC · Dodoma Jiji FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Pamba SC1.5

Dodoma Jiji FC0.9

1X2

50% 29% 21%

Pamba SC Draw Dodoma Jiji FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Pamba SC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWLLL

Dodoma Jiji FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDWDLLLDDL

Head-to-head

Pamba SC 2–2–0 Dodoma Jiji FC (4 last)

Pamba SC0-0Dodoma Jiji FC
Dodoma Jiji FC0-3Pamba SC
Dodoma Jiji FC0-1Pamba SC
Pamba SC0-0Dodoma Jiji FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pamba SC 1451 · Dodoma Jiji FC 1460

	Pamba SC	Draw	Dodoma Jiji FC
Our model	50%	29%	21%
Market	50%	30%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pamba SC: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pamba SC	Dodoma Jiji FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	0.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 3.5	2.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.00

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.85▲	Bet365 1.85
X	3.00 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88
2	4.50 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +2’	1.80	3.00	4.50
15:56 +1’	1.80	3.00	4.33▼
18:45 +7’	1.85▲	2.88▼	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pamba SC 2–2–0 Dodoma Jiji FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Tanzania Premier League	Pamba SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Dodoma Jiji FC
25/10/25 Tanzania Premier League	Dodoma Jiji FC	0-3 HT 1-0	Pamba SC
06/02/25 Tanzania Premier League	Dodoma Jiji FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Pamba SC
24/08/24 Tanzania Premier League	Pamba SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Dodoma Jiji FC

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Azam FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Coastal Union	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dodoma Jiji FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Singida Fountain Gate FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Geita Gold	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JKT Tanzania	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kagera Sugar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mashujaa FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mbeya City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Namungo FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Pamba SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Polisi Tanzania FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simba Sports Club	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Singida Black Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	TRA United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Young Africans	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pamba SC	Dodoma Jiji FC
JKT Tanzania	1-2 L	0-0 D
Mbeya City	0-2 L	1-1 D
Mtibwa Sugar	4-0 W	1-0 W
Simba Sports Club	1-2 L	0-1 L
Tanzania Prisons	2-3 L	1-3 L
Azam FC	0-2 L	0-2 L
Singida Black Stars	1-3 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Pamba SC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pamba SC

LDLWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/06	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
27/06	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	1	L
24/06	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
18/06	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
14/06	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
26/05	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League	0-1	2-3	3	3	L
20/05	KMC FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
14/05	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
10/05	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
05/05	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	0-1	1-3	2	1	L

Dodoma Jiji FC

WDWDLLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/06	Azam FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
27/06	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
24/06	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
17/06	Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League	0-3	0-5	3	1	L
14/06	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
24/05	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
20/05	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
13/05	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	1-2	3-2	1	4	W
10/05	Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
06/05	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	10	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pamba SC vs Dodoma Jiji FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pamba SC win (50%). Probabilities: Pamba SC 50%, draw 29%, Dodoma Jiji FC 21%.

How many goals are expected in Pamba SC vs Dodoma Jiji FC?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Pamba SC 1.5 · Dodoma Jiji FC 0.9), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Pamba SC vs Dodoma Jiji FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.