Prediction: Mbeya City vs Mashujaa FC

Team pages: Mbeya City · Mashujaa FC

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.62Total
Mbeya City0.88
Mashujaa FC0.74
1X2
37% 34% 29%
Mbeya City Draw Mashujaa FC
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Mbeya City 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLWLWDDDLW
Mashujaa FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LDLLLWWLWL
Head-to-head
Mbeya City 0–1–3 Mashujaa FC (4 last)
  • Mbeya City0-0Mashujaa FC
  • Mashujaa FC1-0Mbeya City
  • Mbeya City0-1Mashujaa FC
  • Mashujaa FC3-1Mbeya City
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mbeya City 1506 · Mashujaa FC 1468
Mbeya CityDrawMashujaa FC
Our model35%37%27%
Market38%32%30%
Estimated total (ours) 1.62 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Mashujaa FC: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mbeya CityMashujaa FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.80.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 5.62.8 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 02.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mbeya City 013 Mashujaa FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/04/26
Tanzania Premier League
Mbeya City0-0
HT 0-0
Mashujaa FC
22/11/25
Tanzania Premier League
Mashujaa FC1-0
HT 0-0
Mbeya City
24/06/23
Tanzania Play-Offs
Mbeya City0-1
HT 0-0
Mashujaa FC
19/06/23
Tanzania Play-Offs
Mashujaa FC3-1Mbeya City

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Simba Sports Club 3300 629
2 Young Africans 2200 726
3 Geita Gold 3201 736
4 Singida Black Stars 3111 534
5 Polisi Tanzania FC 2110 314
6 Azam FC 2110 324
7 Mbeya City 2101 213
8 Mashujaa FC 2101 113
9 Namungo FC 2101 233
10 Singida Fountain Gate FC 2101 133
11 Pamba SC 2011 231
11 TRA United 2011 231
13 Dodoma Jiji FC 2011 131
13 JKT Tanzania 2011 131
15 Kagera Sugar 3012 391
16 Coastal Union 2002 150

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMbeya CityMashujaa FC
Dodoma Jiji FC 2-0 W 1-1 D
Tanzania Prisons 0-0 D 0-1 L
Simba Sports Club 0-1 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mbeya City (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mbeya City

DLWLWDDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Dodoma Jiji FC
Tanzania Premier League
1-0 2-0 34 W
14/08 Geita Gold
Tanzania Premier League
0-1 0-1 95 L
08/07 Tanzania Prisons
Tanzania Premier League
0-0 0-0 52 D
30/06 TRA United
Tanzania Premier League
0-0 0-0 63 D
27/06 Dodoma Jiji FC
Tanzania Premier League
1-1 1-1 101 D
24/06 Pamba SC
Tanzania Premier League
1-0 2-0 91 W
17/06 Simba Sports Club
Tanzania Premier League
0-1 0-1 L
13/06 Mtibwa Sugar
Tanzania Premier League
1-0 1-0 W
26/05 Singida Black Stars
Tanzania Premier League
1-2 1-4 02 L
21/05 Namungo FC
Tanzania Premier League
1-1 1-1 34 D

Mashujaa FC

LDLLLWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Singida Fountain Gate FC
Tanzania Premier League
0-1 0-1 92 L
15/08 Coastal Union
Tanzania Premier League
0-0 1-0 W
30/06 Tanzania Prisons
Tanzania Premier League
0-0 0-1 00 L
27/06 KMC FC
Tanzania Premier League
2-0 2-0 W
24/06 Singida Fountain Gate FC
Tanzania Premier League
0-0 1-0 81 W
16/06 Azam FC
Tanzania Premier League
0-2 0-2 L
13/06 Young Africans
Tanzania Premier League
0-1 0-2 12 L
24/05 Coastal Union
Tanzania Premier League
0-0 0-1 17 L
20/05 Dodoma Jiji FC
Tanzania Premier League
0-1 1-1 02 D
14/05 Simba Sports Club
Tanzania Premier League
0-1 0-3 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mbeya City vs Mashujaa FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mbeya City win (37%). Probabilities: Mbeya City 37%, draw 34%, Mashujaa FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Mbeya City vs Mashujaa FC?

The model expects 1.62 goals (Mbeya City 0.88 · Mashujaa FC 0.74), with a 59% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Mbeya City vs Mashujaa FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.