Football · Tanzania Premier League · 20/08, 17:30
Prediction: Young Africans vs Coastal Union
Team pages: Young Africans
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Young Africans2.37
Coastal Union0.42
1X2
Young Africans
Draw
Coastal Union
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Young Africans
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Coastal Union
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Young Africans
6–0
Coastal Union
(6 last)
- Young Africans3-0Coastal Union
- Coastal Union0-1Young Africans
- Young Africans1-0Coastal Union
- Young Africans3-1Coastal Union
- Coastal Union0-1Young Africans
- Young Africans1-0Coastal Union
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Young Africans 1620 · Coastal Union 1457
| Young Africans | Draw | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 15% | 4% |
| Market | 82% | 13% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Young Africans (rating 1620 vs 1457).
- H2H favours Young Africans: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Young Africans | Coastal Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.5 | 2 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Africans 6–0–0 Coastal Union
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Tanzania Premier League | Young Africans | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Coastal Union |
| 07/12/25 Tanzania Premier League | Coastal Union | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Young Africans |
| 07/04/25 Tanzania Premier League | Young Africans | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Coastal Union |
| 12/03/25 Tanzania Cup | Young Africans | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Coastal Union |
| 26/10/24 Tanzania Premier League | Coastal Union | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Young Africans |
| 27/04/24 Tanzania Premier League | Young Africans | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Coastal Union |
Standings · Tanzania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba Sports Club | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Singida Black Stars | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Young Africans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Mbeya City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Geita Gold | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Mashujaa FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Namungo FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Singida Fountain Gate FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Azam FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | TRA United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Pamba SC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Coastal Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Young Africans | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|
| Namungo FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Simba Sports Club | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| TRA United | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Azam FC | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Mashujaa FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Young Africans (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Young Africans
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/08 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Community Shield |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Aigles Du Congo Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/06 | JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | Azam FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Azam FC Tanzania Cup |
0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 18/06 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Coastal Union
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/06 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Azam FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/06 | KMC FC Tanzania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 21/05 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Young Africans vs Coastal Union?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Young Africans win (81%). Probabilities: Young Africans 81%, draw 14%, Coastal Union 5%.
How many goals are expected in Young Africans vs Coastal Union?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Young Africans 2.37 · Coastal Union 0.42), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Young Africans vs Coastal Union?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.