Football · Tanzania Premier League · 20/08, 20:00

Prediction: Azam FC vs TRA United

Team pages: Azam FC · TRA United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Azam FC1.85

TRA United0.6

1X2

67% 22% 11%

Azam FC Draw TRA United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Azam FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLWWLD

TRA United 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWDDLDD

Head-to-head

Azam FC 1–1–2 TRA United (4 last)

TRA United4-1Azam FC
Azam FC2-0TRA United
TRA United2-1Azam FC
TRA United0-0Azam FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Azam FC 1554 · TRA United 1491

	Azam FC	Draw	TRA United
Our model	67%	23%	10%
Market	67%	21%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Azam FC (rating 1554 vs 1491).
H2H favours TRA United: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Azam FC	TRA United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.6	1.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.20

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.02

2 (+1.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:53 +6’	1.33	4.20	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Azam FC 1–1–2 TRA United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Tanzania Premier League	TRA United	4-1 HT 3-1	Azam FC
29/01/26 Tanzania Premier League	Azam FC	2-0 HT 1-0	TRA United
13/12/24 Tanzania Premier League	TRA United	2-1 HT 1-0	Azam FC
19/02/24 Tanzania Premier League	TRA United	0-0 HT 0-0	Azam FC

Standings · Tanzania Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Simba Sports Club	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
2	Singida Black Stars	2	1	1	0	4	1	4
3	Young Africans	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
4	Mbeya City	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
5	Geita Gold	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
5	Mashujaa FC	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
7	Namungo FC	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
8	Singida Fountain Gate FC	2	1	0	1	1	3	3
9	Azam FC	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	JKT Tanzania	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	Polisi Tanzania FC	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	TRA United	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
13	Pamba SC	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Dodoma Jiji FC	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
14	Kagera Sugar	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
16	Coastal Union	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Azam FC	TRA United
Simba Sports Club	0-1 L	0-4 L
Coastal Union	2-0 W	1-1 D
Young Africans	0-3 L	0-3 L
Singida Fountain Gate FC	2-0 W	1-2 L
KMC FC	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Azam FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Azam FC

WWWWDLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
04/07	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Cup	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
30/06	Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	2-0	12	4	W
27/06	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
24/06	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
21/06	Young Africans Tanzania Cup	1-0	2-2	2	5	D
16/06	Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/06	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
25/05	KMC FC Tanzania Premier League	3-0	3-0	6	1	W
22/05	Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	2	W

TRA United

DLWLWDDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
30/06	Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/06	Young Africans Tanzania Premier League	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
24/06	Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
16/06	Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
12/06	KMC FC Tanzania Premier League	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
24/05	Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League	1-2	1-2	10	2	L
20/05	Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	Simba Sports Club Tanzania Cup	0-2	0-4	6	3	L
12/05	JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	1-1	1-1	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Azam FC vs TRA United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Azam FC win (67%). Probabilities: Azam FC 67%, draw 22%, TRA United 11%.

How many goals are expected in Azam FC vs TRA United?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Azam FC 1.85 · TRA United 0.6), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Azam FC vs TRA United?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.