Football · Tanzania Premier League · 19/08, 18:00
Prediction: Kagera Sugar vs Singida Black Stars
Team pages: Singida Black Stars
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Kagera Sugar0.94
Singida Black Stars1.65
1X2
Kagera Sugar
Draw
Singida Black Stars
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kagera Sugar
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Singida Black Stars
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kagera Sugar
1–1–4
Singida Black Stars
(6 last)
- Singida Black Stars2-0Kagera Sugar
- Singida Black Stars2-2Kagera Sugar
- Kagera Sugar0-1Singida Black Stars
- Kagera Sugar2-1Singida Black Stars
- Singida Black Stars1-0Kagera Sugar
- Singida Black Stars2-0Kagera Sugar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kagera Sugar 1566 · Singida Black Stars 1530
| Kagera Sugar | Draw | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 27% | 53% |
| Market | 20% | 28% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Singida Black Stars: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kagera Sugar | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5 | 2 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kagera Sugar 1–1–4 Singida Black Stars
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/25 Tanzania Cup | Singida Black Stars | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Kagera Sugar |
| 07/02/25 Tanzania Premier League | Singida Black Stars | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Kagera Sugar |
| 24/08/24 Tanzania Premier League | Kagera Sugar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Singida Black Stars |
| 25/02/24 Tanzania Premier League | Kagera Sugar | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Singida Black Stars |
| 19/08/23 Tanzania Premier League | Singida Black Stars | 1-0 | Kagera Sugar |
| 09/06/23 Tanzania Premier League | Singida Black Stars | 2-0 | Kagera Sugar |
Standings · Tanzania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singida Black Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Simba Sports Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Geita Gold | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Mashujaa FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Namungo FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Singida Fountain Gate FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Azam FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | JKT Tanzania | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Pamba SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | TRA United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Coastal Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kagera Sugar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Mbeya Kwanza FC Tanzania First Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Gunners FC Tanzania First Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Ken Gold FC Tanzania First Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Songea United Tanzania First Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Geita Gold Tanzania First Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/05 | Mbuni FC Tanzania First Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | TMA FC Tanzania First Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Hausang FC Tanzania First Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | B19 FC Tanzania First Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Singida Black Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Simba Sports Club CECAFA Club Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 28/07 | Mogadishu City FC CECAFA Club Cup |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Jamus Juba CECAFA Club Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/06 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
2-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/06 | Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kagera Sugar vs Singida Black Stars?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Singida Black Stars win (53%). Probabilities: Kagera Sugar 20%, draw 27%, Singida Black Stars 53%.
How many goals are expected in Kagera Sugar vs Singida Black Stars?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Kagera Sugar 0.94 · Singida Black Stars 1.65), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kagera Sugar vs Singida Black Stars?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.