Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 05/09, 18:00

Prediction: Campobasso vs Gubbio

Team pages: Campobasso · Gubbio

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Campobasso1.34
Gubbio0.74
1X2
50% 30% 20%
Campobasso Draw Gubbio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Campobasso 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWDWDWWWL
Gubbio 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLDLLDDWLL
Head-to-head
Campobasso 1–2–1 Gubbio (4 last)
  • Gubbio1-0Campobasso
  • Campobasso2-0Gubbio
  • Campobasso1-1Gubbio
  • Gubbio0-0Campobasso
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Campobasso 1538 · Gubbio 1480
CampobassoDrawGubbio
Our model50%31%19%
Market51%29%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Campobasso (rating 1538 vs 1480).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CampobassoGubbio
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.40.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 00.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.41.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.14.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Campobasso 121 Gubbio

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/26
Italy Serie C Group B
Gubbio1-0
HT 0-0
Campobasso
23/09/25
Italy Serie C Group B
Campobasso2-0
HT 1-0
Gubbio
25/01/25
Italy Serie C Group B
Campobasso1-1
HT 0-1
Gubbio
20/09/24
Italy Serie C Group B
Gubbio0-0
HT 0-0
Campobasso

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Forli 2110 854
2 Ravenna 2110 424
3 FC Vado 2110 204
4 Perugia 2110 324
4 AC Reggiana 2110 324
4 Grosseto 2110 324
7 Spezia 2110 214
7 Livorno 2110 214
9 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2101 423
10 Campobasso 2101 213
11 Torres 2101 223
12 Pescara 2101 563
13 Atalanta U23 2101 233
14 ASD Pineto Calcio 2020 002
15 Sambenedettese 2011 231
16 Vis Pesaro 2011 241
17 US Latina Calcio 2011 131
18 US Pianese 2011 021
19 AS Ostia Mare 2002 130
20 Gubbio 2002 150

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCampobassoGubbio
US Pianese 2-0 W 1-1 D
Ascoli 1-0 W 1-3 L
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2-2 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Campobasso (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Campobasso

LWWDWDWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Spezia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 36 L
23/08 US Pianese
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 2-0 82 W
26/04 Ascoli
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-0 22 W
18/04 Perugia
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-0 56 W
11/04 AC Bra
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 73 D
04/04 US Pianese
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 2-0 52 W
29/03 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
2-0 2-2 31 D
21/03 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 2-0 74 W
14/03 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-0 37 W
09/03 Arezzo
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 16 L

Gubbio

WLDLLDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 AC Reggiana
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-2 83 L
22/08 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-3 24 L
26/04 ASD Pineto Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 2-0 07 W
18/04 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 27 D
11/04 US Pianese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-1 56 D
03/04 Livorno
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 0-3 45 L
29/03 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-2 75 L
21/03 Juventus U23
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 2-2 23 D
15/03 Ascoli
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-3 34 L
08/03 Ternana
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-0 02 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Campobasso vs Gubbio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Campobasso win (50%). Probabilities: Campobasso 50%, draw 30%, Gubbio 20%.

How many goals are expected in Campobasso vs Gubbio?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Campobasso 1.34 · Gubbio 0.74), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Campobasso vs Gubbio?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.