Prediction: Ravenna vs Perugia
- Perugia1-1Ravenna
- Ravenna3-2Perugia
- Ravenna0-3Perugia
- Perugia3-1Ravenna
| Ravenna | Draw | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ravenna (rating 1551 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Perugia: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ravenna | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ravenna 1–1–2 Perugia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Italy Serie C Group B | Perugia | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Ravenna |
| 19/09/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Ravenna | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Perugia |
| 17/04/21 Italy Serie C Group B | Ravenna | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Perugia |
| 23/12/20 Italy Serie C Group B | Perugia | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Ravenna |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Reggiana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Grosseto | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Perugia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Spezia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Livorno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Ravenna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Forli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | US Latina Calcio | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Vado | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Pescara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Campobasso | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | AS Ostia Mare | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Gubbio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta U23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Torres | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 18 | Sambenedettese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 19 | Vis Pesaro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | US Pianese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ravenna | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Vis Pesaro | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| ASD Pineto Calcio | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Torres | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ravenna (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ravenna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Pescara Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/08 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Pontedera Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 14/03 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 09/03 | Ascoli Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Perugia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Forli Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Ternana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/03 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 15/03 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ravenna vs Perugia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ravenna win (46%). Probabilities: Ravenna 46%, draw 28%, Perugia 26%.
How many goals are expected in Ravenna vs Perugia?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Ravenna 1.46 · Perugia 1.05), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ravenna vs Perugia?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.