Prediction: Vis Pesaro vs Perugia
Team pages: Vis Pesaro · Perugia
- Perugia1-2Vis Pesaro
- Vis Pesaro0-1Perugia
- Perugia2-1Vis Pesaro
- Perugia0-1Vis Pesaro
- Vis Pesaro0-0Perugia
- Vis Pesaro1-0Perugia
| Vis Pesaro | Draw | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 30% | 43% |
| Market | 28% | 30% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Perugia (rating 1463 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Vis Pesaro: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vis Pesaro | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 3.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vis Pesaro 3–1–2 Perugia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Italy Serie C Cup | Perugia | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Vis Pesaro |
| 29/03/26 Italy Serie C Group B | Vis Pesaro | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Perugia |
| 24/11/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Perugia | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Vis Pesaro |
| 07/02/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Perugia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vis Pesaro |
| 30/09/24 Italy Serie C Group B | Vis Pesaro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Perugia |
| 14/04/24 Italy Serie C Group B | Vis Pesaro | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Perugia |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Campobasso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Pescara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Vado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Livorno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Perugia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Forli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Ravenna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | AC Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Grosseto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | US Latina Calcio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Torres | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | AS Ostia Mare | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Atalanta U23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | US Pianese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Vis Pesaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Gubbio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vis Pesaro | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Juventus U23 | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vis Pesaro (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vis Pesaro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Pescara Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Ascoli Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 14/03 | Ternana Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/03 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/03 | AC Bra Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Perugia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Forli Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Ternana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/03 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 15/03 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 09/03 | Pontedera Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/03 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Perugia win (43%). Probabilities: Vis Pesaro 28%, draw 30%, Perugia 43%.
How many goals are expected in Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Vis Pesaro 1.05 · Perugia 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.