Prediction: Perugia vs ASD Pineto Calcio
Team pages: Perugia · ASD Pineto Calcio
- Perugia0-1ASD Pineto Calcio
- ASD Pineto Calcio3-0Perugia
- Perugia3-0ASD Pineto Calcio
- ASD Pineto Calcio3-1Perugia
- ASD Pineto Calcio0-2Perugia
- Perugia2-2ASD Pineto Calcio
| Perugia | Draw | ASD Pineto Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 31% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours ASD Pineto Calcio: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Perugia | ASD Pineto Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.9 | 1.5 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Perugia 2–1–3 ASD Pineto Calcio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Italy Serie C Group B | Perugia | 0-1 HT 0-1 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
| 19/10/25 Italy Serie C Group B | ASD Pineto Calcio | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Perugia |
| 28/03/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Perugia | 3-0 HT 0-0 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
| 16/11/24 Italy Serie C Group B | ASD Pineto Calcio | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Perugia |
| 18/08/24 Italy Serie C Cup | ASD Pineto Calcio | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Perugia |
| 23/03/24 Italy Serie C Group B | Perugia | 2-2 HT 0-0 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | FC Vado | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Perugia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | AC Reggiana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Grosseto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Spezia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Livorno | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Campobasso | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Torres | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Pescara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atalanta U23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Sambenedettese | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Vis Pesaro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 17 | US Latina Calcio | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | US Pianese | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 | AS Ostia Mare | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 | Gubbio | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Perugia | ASD Pineto Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Torres | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Arezzo | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Perugia (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Perugia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Forli Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 18/04 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Ternana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 29/03 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 15/03 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 09/03 | Pontedera Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
ASD Pineto Calcio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 23/08 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 21/03 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | AC Bra Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/03 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Perugia vs ASD Pineto Calcio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Perugia win (51%). Probabilities: Perugia 51%, draw 29%, ASD Pineto Calcio 20%.
How many goals are expected in Perugia vs ASD Pineto Calcio?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Perugia 1.31 · ASD Pineto Calcio 0.7), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Perugia vs ASD Pineto Calcio?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.