Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 12/09, 21:00

Prediction: Forli vs Vis Pesaro

Team pages: Forli · Vis Pesaro

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Forli1.6
Vis Pesaro1.25
1X2
44% 28% 28%
Forli Draw Vis Pesaro
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Forli 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLDLLWDDWL
Vis Pesaro 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WDLLWLLLDL
Head-to-head
Forli 1–1–0 Vis Pesaro (2 last)
  • Vis Pesaro1-1Forli
  • Forli3-1Vis Pesaro
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forli 1496 · Vis Pesaro 1409
ForliDrawVis Pesaro
Our model44%27%29%
Market44%28%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Forli (rating 1496 vs 1409).
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ForliVis Pesaro
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.71 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.31.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.33.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Forli 110 Vis Pesaro

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/26
Italy Serie C Group B
Vis Pesaro1-1
HT 0-0
Forli
23/09/25
Italy Serie C Group B
Forli3-1
HT 0-0
Vis Pesaro

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Spezia 4310 6210
2 AC Reggiana 4220 748
3 Grosseto 4220 528
4 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 4211 637
5 Forli 4211 1087
6 Perugia 3210 537
7 Livorno 4211 337
8 Gubbio 4202 886
9 Campobasso 4202 556
10 Atalanta U23 4202 456
11 Ravenna 3120 425
12 ASD Pineto Calcio 4121 335
13 FC Vado 4112 344
14 Pescara 4112 684
15 US Latina Calcio 4112 464
16 AS Ostia Mare 3102 343
17 Torres 3102 243
18 US Pianese 4022 032
19 Sambenedettese 4013 471
20 Vis Pesaro 4013 481

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentForliVis Pesaro
Pescara 6-3 W 0-2 L
Sambenedettese 2-2 D 2-3 L
Perugia 1-1 D 2-2 D
AC Carpi 1-0 W 3-0 W
Ascoli 0-3 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forli

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 0-2 66 L
29/08 Pescara
Italy Serie C Group B
3-1 6-3 64 W
23/08 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 2-2 14 D
26/04 Perugia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-1 30 D
18/04 AC Carpi
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-0 46 W
11/04 Ascoli
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-3 34 L
04/04 AC Bra
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-2 73 L
29/03 US Pianese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 83 D
21/03 Campobasso
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-2 84 L
15/03 Juventus U23
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 2-2 74 D

Vis Pesaro

WDLLWLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 AS Ostia Mare
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-2 54 L
30/08 Perugia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 2-2 44 D
22/08 Pescara
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-2 13 L
26/04 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 2-3 56 L
18/04 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 72 L
12/04 AC Carpi
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 3-0 31 W
04/04 Ascoli
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-2 04 L
29/03 Perugia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 13 L
21/03 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 45 D
14/03 Ternana
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-0 36 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forli vs Vis Pesaro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Forli win (44%). Probabilities: Forli 44%, draw 28%, Vis Pesaro 28%.

How many goals are expected in Forli vs Vis Pesaro?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Forli 1.6 · Vis Pesaro 1.25), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Forli vs Vis Pesaro?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.