Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 12/09, 18:00
Prediction: ASD Pineto Calcio vs Sambenedettese
Team pages: ASD Pineto Calcio · Sambenedettese
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
ASD Pineto Calcio1.07
Sambenedettese0.88
1X2
ASD Pineto Calcio
Draw
Sambenedettese
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Pineto Calcio
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Sambenedettese
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASD Pineto Calcio
1–4–1
Sambenedettese
(6 last)
- ASD Pineto Calcio0-0Sambenedettese
- Sambenedettese1-1ASD Pineto Calcio
- ASD Pineto Calcio0-0Sambenedettese
- Sambenedettese0-3ASD Pineto Calcio
- ASD Pineto Calcio1-2Sambenedettese
- Sambenedettese0-0ASD Pineto Calcio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASD Pineto Calcio 1444 · Sambenedettese 1506
| ASD Pineto Calcio | Draw | Sambenedettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 34% | 28% |
| Market | 39% | 31% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sambenedettese (rating 1444 vs 1506).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Pineto Calcio | Sambenedettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 1.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Pineto Calcio 1–4–1 Sambenedettese
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Italy Serie C Group B | ASD Pineto Calcio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sambenedettese |
| 23/11/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Sambenedettese | 1-1 HT 0-0 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
| 12/02/23 Italy Serie D | ASD Pineto Calcio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sambenedettese |
| 09/10/22 Italy Serie D | Sambenedettese | 0-3 HT 0-0 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
| 22/05/22 Italy Serie D | ASD Pineto Calcio | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sambenedettese |
| 23/01/22 Italy Serie D | Sambenedettese | 0-0 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | AC Reggiana | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Forli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 6 | Perugia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Livorno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Campobasso | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Atalanta U23 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Ravenna | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | FC Vado | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Pescara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | US Latina Calcio | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | AS Ostia Mare | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Torres | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | US Pianese | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ASD Pineto Calcio | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Arezzo | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Torres | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Pineto Calcio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 23/08 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 21/03 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | AC Bra Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Sambenedettese
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Spezia Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Forli Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Pontedera Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 29/03 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 20/03 | Ternana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/03 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Pineto Calcio vs Sambenedettese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Pineto Calcio win (39%). Probabilities: ASD Pineto Calcio 39%, draw 33%, Sambenedettese 29%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Pineto Calcio vs Sambenedettese?
The model expects 1.95 goals (ASD Pineto Calcio 1.07 · Sambenedettese 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Pineto Calcio vs Sambenedettese?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.