Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: Torres vs FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Team pages: Torres · FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Torres1.19

FC Guidonia Montecelio 19371.05

1X2

38% 30% 32%

Torres Draw FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Torres 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDDDWL

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDDDLWDW

Head-to-head

Torres 1–1–4 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (6 last)

Torres2-1FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
FC Guidonia Montecelio 19370-0Torres
FC Guidonia Montecelio 19372-0Torres
Torres0-1FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Torres0-1FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
FC Guidonia Montecelio 19373-0Torres

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torres 1517 · FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1509

	Torres	Draw	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Our model	38%	31%	31%
Market	39%	29%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Torres	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.5	0.9 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.10

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.40
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.12
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.93 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +7’	2.30	3.10	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:15	2.50	3.12	2.64
09:24 +53’	2.46▼	3.14▲	2.83▲
10:44 +40’	2.32▼	3.14	3.05▲
11:25 +61’	2.40▲	3.12▼	2.93▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Torres 1–1–4 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/03/26 Italy Serie C Group B	Torres	2-1 HT 1-0	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
25/10/25 Italy Serie C Group B	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937	0-0 HT 0-0	Torres
07/03/21 Italy Serie D	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937	2-0 HT 2-0	Torres
18/10/20 Italy Serie D	Torres	0-1	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
20/01/19 Italy Serie D	Torres	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
30/09/18 Italy Serie D	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937	3-0	Torres

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spezia	10	9	1	0	18	4	28
2	Ravenna	10	6	2	2	16	6	20
3	Grosseto	10	5	4	1	21	13	19
4	AC Reggiana	10	5	2	3	14	9	17
5	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937	10	4	4	2	14	10	16
6	Livorno	10	4	4	2	15	14	16
7	Perugia	10	5	1	4	14	15	16
8	Pescara	10	4	3	3	13	12	15
9	Torres	10	4	3	3	11	12	15
10	US Latina Calcio	10	3	4	3	10	10	13
11	FC Vado	10	3	3	4	10	10	12
12	Atalanta U23	9	4	0	5	10	13	12
13	Campobasso	10	3	3	4	14	19	12
14	Forli	10	2	5	3	16	16	11
15	ASD Pineto Calcio	10	2	5	3	8	11	11
16	AS Ostia Mare	10	2	3	5	9	12	9
17	US Pianese	10	1	5	4	6	10	8
18	Sambenedettese	10	1	4	5	14	17	7
19	Gubbio	10	2	1	7	10	20	7
20	Vis Pesaro	9	1	1	7	10	20	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Torres	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
AC Reggiana	0-2 L	1-1 D
Atalanta U23	2-1 W	1-2 L
Forli	1-1 D	3-2 W
US Pianese	2-1 W	1-0 W
Livorno	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torres

LWLWWDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B	0-2	0-2	10	3	L
11/10	Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B	2-0	2-1	9	3	W
04/10	Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
26/09	FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
19/09	Forli Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
16/09	US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
13/09	AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	3-2	6	5	W
06/09	Grosseto Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
29/08	Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
24/08	Livorno Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	1-2	1	0	L

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

WLWDDDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Forli Italy Serie C Group B	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
12/10	Pescara Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
04/10	ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/09	Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B	1-2	1-2	4	1	L
21/09	Livorno Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
16/09	US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
05/09	US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
30/08	Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
22/08	Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	3-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torres vs FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Torres win (38%). Probabilities: Torres 38%, draw 30%, FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 32%.

How many goals are expected in Torres vs FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Torres 1.19 · FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.05), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Torres vs FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.