Prediction: Spezia vs Atalanta U23
Team pages: Spezia · Atalanta U23
| Spezia | Draw | Atalanta U23 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | 65% | 22% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spezia (rating 1622 vs 1478).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spezia | Atalanta U23 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.5 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 29 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | Pescara | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | Torres | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | AC Reggiana | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | Livorno | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 9 | Perugia | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Campobasso | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Vado | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 12 | US Latina Calcio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| 14 | Forli | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
| 15 | Atalanta U23 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 10 |
| 17 | AS Ostia Mare | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 18 | US Pianese | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 19 | Gubbio | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 7 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spezia | Atalanta U23 |
|---|---|---|
| US Latina Calcio | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Ravenna | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Gubbio | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Pescara | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Livorno | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Sambenedettese | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Campobasso | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Spezia (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spezia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 18/10 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Pescara Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/09 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/09 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Atalanta U23
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/10 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Pescara Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spezia vs Atalanta U23?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spezia win (65%). Probabilities: Spezia 65%, draw 22%, Atalanta U23 12%.
How many goals are expected in Spezia vs Atalanta U23?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Spezia 1.92 · Atalanta U23 0.72), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Spezia vs Atalanta U23?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.