Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 24/10, 17:30

Prediction: Vis Pesaro vs Ravenna

Team pages: Vis Pesaro · Ravenna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Vis Pesaro0.84

Ravenna1.81

1X2

16% 24% 60%

Vis Pesaro Draw Ravenna

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Vis Pesaro 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLWLL

Ravenna 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWLWL

Head-to-head

Vis Pesaro 1–2–3 Ravenna (6 last)

Ravenna1-0Vis Pesaro
Vis Pesaro1-0Ravenna
Vis Pesaro0-0Ravenna
Ravenna2-1Vis Pesaro
Vis Pesaro0-0Ravenna
Ravenna2-1Vis Pesaro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vis Pesaro 1396 · Ravenna 1560

	Vis Pesaro	Draw	Ravenna
Our model	16%	25%	59%
Market	16%	24%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ravenna (rating 1396 vs 1560).
H2H favours Ravenna: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vis Pesaro	Ravenna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.6 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.5	2.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

15.50

X3.80

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.98

2 (-1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:58 +19’	5.50	3.80	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vis Pesaro 1–2–3 Ravenna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Italy Serie C Group B	Ravenna	1-0 HT 0-0	Vis Pesaro
15/12/25 Italy Serie C Group B	Vis Pesaro	1-0 HT 1-0	Ravenna
03/02/21 Italy Serie C Group B	Vis Pesaro	0-0 HT 0-0	Ravenna
08/10/20 Italy Serie C Group B	Ravenna	2-1 HT 1-0	Vis Pesaro
26/01/20 Italy Serie C Group B	Vis Pesaro	0-0 HT 0-0	Ravenna
15/09/19 Italy Serie C Group B	Ravenna	2-1 HT 0-0	Vis Pesaro

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spezia	10	9	1	0	18	4	28
2	Ravenna	10	6	2	2	16	6	20
3	Grosseto	10	5	4	1	21	13	19
4	AC Reggiana	9	5	2	2	14	7	17
5	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937	10	4	4	2	14	10	16
6	Livorno	10	4	4	2	15	14	16
7	Perugia	10	5	1	4	14	15	16
8	Pescara	10	4	3	3	13	12	15
9	Torres	10	4	3	3	11	12	15
10	US Latina Calcio	10	3	4	3	10	10	13
11	FC Vado	10	3	3	4	10	10	12
12	Atalanta U23	9	4	0	5	10	13	12
13	Campobasso	10	3	3	4	14	19	12
14	Forli	10	2	5	3	16	16	11
15	AS Ostia Mare	10	2	3	5	9	12	9
16	US Pianese	10	1	5	4	6	10	8
17	ASD Pineto Calcio	9	1	5	3	6	11	8
18	Sambenedettese	10	1	4	5	14	17	7
19	Gubbio	10	2	1	7	10	20	7
20	Vis Pesaro	9	1	1	7	10	20	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vis Pesaro	Ravenna
US Latina Calcio	0-1 L	3-1 W
Spezia	1-3 L	0-1 L
AC Reggiana	1-4 L	1-1 D
AS Ostia Mare	1-2 L	1-0 W
Perugia	2-2 D	3-0 W
Pescara	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ravenna (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vis Pesaro

LLDLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
10/10	Grosseto Italy Serie C Group B	1-2	2-3	4	5	L
27/09	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B	2-1	2-1	2	1	W
21/09	Spezia Italy Serie C Group B	0-2	1-3	2	2	L
16/09	AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B	0-3	1-4	8	5	L
12/09	Forli Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	1-2	0	5	L
05/09	AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
30/08	Perugia Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
22/08	Pescara Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
26/04	Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	2-3	5	6	L

Ravenna

DWDWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Spezia Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
11/10	Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
04/10	US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	1-2	11	3	L
27/09	Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B	2-0	2-0	8	1	W
20/09	Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
16/09	AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
13/09	Perugia Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	3-0	3	3	W
06/09	Pescara Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
29/08	US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B	2-1	3-1	7	1	W
24/08	AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	1-1	8	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vis Pesaro vs Ravenna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ravenna win (60%). Probabilities: Vis Pesaro 16%, draw 24%, Ravenna 60%.

How many goals are expected in Vis Pesaro vs Ravenna?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Vis Pesaro 0.84 · Ravenna 1.81), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Vis Pesaro vs Ravenna?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.