Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 25/10, 14:30

Prediction: Forli vs US Pianese

Team pages: Forli · US Pianese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Forli1.34
US Pianese1
1X2
44% 29% 27%
Forli Draw US Pianese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Forli 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWDDDLDL
US Pianese 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
LDLDLDLWDD
Head-to-head
Forli 0–2–2 US Pianese (4 last)
  • Forli0-0US Pianese
  • US Pianese3-2Forli
  • Forli2-3US Pianese
  • US Pianese3-3Forli
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forli 1481 · US Pianese 1480
ForliDrawUS Pianese
Our model43%30%27%
Market44%28%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours US Pianese: 2-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ForliUS Pianese
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.60.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.10.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.81.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.43.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Forli 0–2–2 US Pianese

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Italy Serie C Group B
Forli0-0
HT 0-0
US Pianese
22/11/25
Italy Serie C Group B
US Pianese3-2
HT 2-0
Forli
11/02/18
Italy Serie D
Forli2-3US Pianese
08/10/17
Italy Serie D
US Pianese3-3Forli

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Spezia 10910 18428
2 Ravenna 10622 16620
3 Grosseto 10541 211319
4 AC Reggiana 10523 14917
5 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 10442 141016
6 Livorno 10442 151416
7 Perugia 10514 141516
8 Pescara 10433 131215
9 Torres 10433 111215
10 US Latina Calcio 10343 101013
11 FC Vado 10334 101012
12 Atalanta U23 9405 101312
13 Campobasso 10334 141912
14 Forli 10253 161611
15 ASD Pineto Calcio 10253 81111
16 AS Ostia Mare 10235 9129
17 US Pianese 10154 6108
18 Sambenedettese 10145 14177
19 Gubbio 10217 10207
20 Vis Pesaro 9117 10204

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentForliUS Pianese
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2-3 L 0-1 L
Livorno 1-1 D 2-3 L
FC Vado 0-1 L 0-0 D
AS Ostia Mare 1-1 D 0-0 D
Torres 1-1 D 1-2 L
ASD Pineto Calcio 1-1 D 0-0 D
Sambenedettese 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 5 D 2 L 0 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Forli (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forli

DWLWDDDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 2-3 54 L
11/10 Livorno
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-1 43 D
03/10 FC Vado
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-1 45 L
27/09 AS Ostia Mare
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-1 33 D
19/09 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-1 46 D
16/09 ASD Pineto Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-1 14 D
12/09 Vis Pesaro
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 2-1 45 W
05/09 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 0-2 66 L
29/08 Pescara
Italy Serie C Group B
3-1 6-3 64 W
23/08 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 2-2 14 D

US Pianese

LDLDLDLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 ASD Pineto Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 44 D
10/10 AS Ostia Mare
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 42 D
04/10 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 2-1 43 W
26/09 Livorno
Italy Serie C Group B
0-2 2-3 64 L
21/09 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-1 86 D
16/09 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-2 65 L
12/09 Grosseto
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 83 D
05/09 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 23 L
28/08 FC Vado
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 85 D
23/08 Campobasso
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-2 12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forli vs US Pianese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Forli win (44%). Probabilities: Forli 44%, draw 29%, US Pianese 27%.

How many goals are expected in Forli vs US Pianese?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Forli 1.34 · US Pianese 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Forli vs US Pianese?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.