Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 23/10, 20:30

Prediction: AS Ostia Mare vs FC Vado

Team pages: AS Ostia Mare · FC Vado

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
AS Ostia Mare1.18
FC Vado0.96
1X2
40% 30% 29%
AS Ostia Mare Draw FC Vado
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
AS Ostia Mare 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLWLLWDDDL
FC Vado 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLLLDWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AS Ostia Mare 1472 · FC Vado 1481
AS Ostia MareDrawFC Vado
Our model39%32%29%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AS Ostia MareFC Vado
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.21 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.82.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.24.2 / 0.3

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Spezia 10910 18428
2 Ravenna 10622 16620
3 Grosseto 10541 211319
4 AC Reggiana 9522 14717
5 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 10442 141016
6 Livorno 10442 151416
7 Perugia 10514 141516
8 Pescara 10433 131215
9 Torres 10433 111215
10 US Latina Calcio 10343 101013
11 FC Vado 10334 101012
12 Atalanta U23 9405 101312
13 Campobasso 10334 141912
14 Forli 10253 161611
15 AS Ostia Mare 10235 9129
16 US Pianese 10154 6108
17 ASD Pineto Calcio 9153 6118
18 Sambenedettese 10145 14177
19 Gubbio 10217 10207
20 Vis Pesaro 9117 10204

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAS Ostia MareFC Vado
Pescara 0-2 L 0-1 L
US Pianese 0-0 D 0-0 D
Forli 1-1 D 1-0 W
Torres 2-3 L 0-0 D
Perugia 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Vado (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AS Ostia Mare

LLWLLWDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Pescara
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-2 84 L
10/10 US Pianese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 52 D
04/10 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-1 44 D
27/09 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-1 83 D
20/09 Gubbio
Italy Serie C Group B
2-0 2-0 83 W
16/09 Ravenna
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-1 42 L
13/09 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 2-3 25 L
05/09 Vis Pesaro
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 2-1 104 W
29/08 Grosseto
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 1-2 71 L
23/08 Perugia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 23 L

FC Vado

WDLLLLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Sambenedettese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 2-2 86 D
11/10 Perugia
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 2-0 63 W
03/10 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-0 35 W
26/09 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 23 D
20/09 Pescara
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-1 57 L
16/09 Livorno
Italy Serie C Group B
2-1 2-3 33 L
12/09 Campobasso
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-1 45 L
06/09 AC Reggiana
Italy Serie C Group B
1-3 1-3 126 L
28/08 US Pianese
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 65 D
21/08 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group B
2-0 2-0 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AS Ostia Mare vs FC Vado?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AS Ostia Mare win (40%). Probabilities: AS Ostia Mare 40%, draw 30%, FC Vado 29%.

How many goals are expected in AS Ostia Mare vs FC Vado?

The model expects 2.14 goals (AS Ostia Mare 1.18 · FC Vado 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AS Ostia Mare vs FC Vado?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.