Prediction: FC Vado vs Grosseto
Team pages: FC Vado · Grosseto
| FC Vado | Draw | Grosseto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | 30% | 27% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grosseto (rating 1499 vs 1540).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Vado | Grosseto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 29 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 22 |
| 4 | Pescara | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 18 |
| 5 | Torres | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | AC Reggiana | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | Livorno | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 9 | Perugia | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Campobasso | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Vado | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 12 | US Latina Calcio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 14 |
| 14 | Forli | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
| 15 | Atalanta U23 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 10 |
| 17 | AS Ostia Mare | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 18 | US Pianese | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 19 | Gubbio | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 7 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Vado | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| AS Ostia Mare | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Sambenedettese | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Perugia | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Torres | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Livorno | 2-3 L | 4-4 D |
| Campobasso | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| AC Reggiana | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| US Pianese | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Grosseto (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Vado
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Forli Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Pescara Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/09 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B |
1-3 | 1-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Grosseto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/10 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
2-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 26/09 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 16/09 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Vado vs Grosseto?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Grosseto win (43%). Probabilities: FC Vado 30%, draw 27%, Grosseto 43%.
How many goals are expected in FC Vado vs Grosseto?
The model expects 2.83 goals (FC Vado 1.27 · Grosseto 1.56), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Vado vs Grosseto?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.