Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 08/08, 17:30
Prediction: JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II
Team pages: JDFS Alberts · Riga FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
JDFS Alberts2.02
Riga FC II1.3
1X2
JDFS Alberts
Draw
Riga FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
JDFS Alberts
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Riga FC II
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
JDFS Alberts
3–1–2
Riga FC II
(6 last)
- Riga FC II2-1JDFS Alberts
- Riga FC II1-3JDFS Alberts
- JDFS Alberts4-0Riga FC II
- JDFS Alberts2-0Riga FC II
- Riga FC II2-2JDFS Alberts
- Riga FC II3-0JDFS Alberts
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · JDFS Alberts 1546 · Riga FC II 1496
| JDFS Alberts | Draw | Riga FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JDFS Alberts (rating 1546 vs 1496).
- H2H favours JDFS Alberts: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| JDFS Alberts | Riga FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 1.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · JDFS Alberts 3–1–2 Riga FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Latvia 1. Liga | Riga FC II | 2-1 HT 2-1 | JDFS Alberts |
| 25/08/25 Latvia 1. Liga | Riga FC II | 1-3 HT 0-2 | JDFS Alberts |
| 18/04/25 Latvia 1. Liga | JDFS Alberts | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Riga FC II |
| 30/08/24 Latvia 1. Liga | JDFS Alberts | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Riga FC II |
| 04/05/24 Latvia 1. Liga | Riga FC II | 2-2 HT 1-2 | JDFS Alberts |
| 24/09/23 Latvia 1. Liga | Riga FC II | 3-0 HT 3-0 | JDFS Alberts |
Standings · Latvia 1. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valmiera FC | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 40 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Metta/LU | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Saldus SS/Leevon | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 33 |
| 4 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 25 |
| 6 | Marupes SC | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 22 |
| 7 | Riga FC II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 28 | 20 |
| 8 | SK Super Nova II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 20 |
| 9 | Skanstes SK | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 41 | 12 |
| 11 | RFS II | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 12 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Smiltene/BJSS | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 10 |
| 14 | Rezeknes FA | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | JDFS Alberts | Riga FC II |
|---|---|---|
| FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| SK Super Nova II | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Rezeknes FA | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Skanstes SK | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
JDFS Alberts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Iecava Latvia Cup |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Riga FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | RFS II Latvia 1. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Rezeknes FA Latvia 1. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Leevon PPK Latvia 1. Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | Skanstes SK Latvia 1. Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a JDFS Alberts win (54%). Probabilities: JDFS Alberts 54%, draw 23%, Riga FC II 24%.
How many goals are expected in JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II?
The model expects 3.32 goals (JDFS Alberts 2.02 · Riga FC II 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in JDFS Alberts vs Riga FC II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.