Football · Latvia 1. Liga · 08/08, 12:30

Prediction: Skanstes SK vs Rezeknes FA

Team pages: Skanstes SK · Rezeknes FA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Skanstes SK2.37

Rezeknes FA1.37

1X2

59% 21% 20%

Skanstes SK Draw Rezeknes FA

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Skanstes SK 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLLLW

Rezeknes FA 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Skanstes SK 4–1–1 Rezeknes FA (6 last)

Rezeknes FA1-6Skanstes SK
Rezeknes FA1-2Skanstes SK
Skanstes SK1-1Rezeknes FA
Rezeknes FA1-0Skanstes SK
Skanstes SK6-0Rezeknes FA
Skanstes SK9-0Rezeknes FA

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skanstes SK (rating 1481 vs 1386).
H2H favours Skanstes SK: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skanstes SK	Rezeknes FA
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.3	0.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.86

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:00

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.34 → 1.32▼	Pinn 1.32
X	4.85 → 4.95▲	Pinn 4.95
2	5.72 → 5.96▲	Pinn 5.96

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:08 +1’	1.34	4.85	5.72
07:59 +1’	1.32▼	4.95▲	5.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Skanstes SK 4–1–1 Rezeknes FA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	1-6 HT 1-2	Skanstes SK
21/09/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	1-2 HT 0-1	Skanstes SK
10/05/25 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	1-1 HT 1-1	Rezeknes FA
01/09/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Rezeknes FA	1-0 HT 0-0	Skanstes SK
04/05/24 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	6-0 HT 2-0	Rezeknes FA
24/09/23 Latvia 1. Liga	Skanstes SK	9-0 HT 3-0	Rezeknes FA

Standings · Latvia 1. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Valmiera FC	15	12	2	1	40	13	38
2	Metta/LU	15	12	2	1	57	13	38
3	Saldus SS/Leevon	15	10	3	2	26	18	33
4	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners	15	9	5	1	30	13	32
5	JDFS Alberts	15	7	4	4	30	23	25
6	Marupes SC	15	7	1	7	26	24	22
7	Riga FC II	15	6	2	7	23	28	20
8	SK Super Nova II	15	5	5	5	21	23	20
9	Skanstes SK	15	5	1	9	25	31	16
10	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II	15	3	3	9	19	41	12
11	RFS II	15	3	3	9	21	33	12
12	JFK Ventspils	15	2	5	8	18	26	11
13	FK Smiltene/BJSS	15	2	4	9	18	39	10
14	Rezeknes FA	15	1	2	12	12	41	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skanstes SK	Rezeknes FA
Marupes SC	4-2 W	1-2 L
Saldus SS/Leevon	1-2 L	1-2 L
JFK Ventspils	0-3 L	1-1 D
FK Smiltene/BJSS	4-2 W	0-1 L
JDFS Alberts	1-4 L	2-4 L
RFS II	4-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Skanstes SK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Skanstes SK

WLLLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	2-1	4-2	6	2	W
25/07	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
18/07	Valmiera FC Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
11/07	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-3	0-3	10	4	L
04/07	Metta/LU Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	2	L
28/06	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	4-2	3	1	W
14/06	FK Beitar Riga/Mariners Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	0-2	7	7	L
30/05	Valmiera FC Latvia Cup	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
24/05	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	0-2	1-4	7	2	L
10/05	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	4-0	6	3	W

Rezeknes FA

LLWLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
25/07	Marupes SC Latvia 1. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/07	FK Smiltene/BJSS Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-1	1	10	L
04/07	JFK Ventspils Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
27/06	JDFS Alberts Latvia 1. Liga	1-2	2-4	1	4	L
14/06	RFS II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-3	8	5	L
30/05	FK Kekava/Auda Latvia Cup	0-0	1-2	5	1	L
23/05	Riga FC II Latvia 1. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	FK Tukums 2000/TSS II Latvia 1. Liga	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
09/05	SK Super Nova II Latvia 1. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skanstes SK vs Rezeknes FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skanstes SK win (59%). Probabilities: Skanstes SK 59%, draw 21%, Rezeknes FA 20%.

How many goals are expected in Skanstes SK vs Rezeknes FA?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Skanstes SK 2.37 · Rezeknes FA 1.37), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Skanstes SK vs Rezeknes FA?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.