Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 01/08, 15:00

Prediction: HPS vs HIFK 2

Team pages: HPS · HIFK 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

HPS1.5

HIFK 22.05

1X2

27% 23% 50%

HPS Draw HIFK 2

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

HPS 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWLWL

HIFK 2 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWDLD

Head-to-head

HPS 4–2–0 HIFK 2 (6 last)

HIFK 20-2HPS
HPS3-0HIFK 2
HIFK 20-3HPS
HIFK 21-1HPS
HIFK 22-3HPS
HPS1-1HIFK 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HPS 1531 · HIFK 2 1515

	HPS	Draw	HIFK 2
Our model	27%	23%	50%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours HPS: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HPS	HIFK 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.8	1.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	2.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	5.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:57 +21’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HPS 4–2–0 HIFK 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	HIFK 2	0-2 HT 0-0	HPS
26/07/24 Finland Kolmonen	HPS	3-0 HT 1-0	HIFK 2
20/04/24 Finland Kolmonen	HIFK 2	0-3 HT 0-3	HPS
21/08/21 Finland Kolmonen	HIFK 2	1-1 HT 0-0	HPS
05/09/19 Finland Kolmonen	HIFK 2	2-3 HT 2-0	HPS
07/06/19 Finland Kolmonen	HPS	1-1 HT 0-0	HIFK 2

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	14	9	2	3	32	22	29
2	HIFK 2	14	7	4	3	28	16	25
3	PEPO	14	7	4	3	23	20	25
4	HPS	14	7	2	5	31	26	23
5	Atlantis	14	7	1	6	45	34	22
6	Reipas	14	6	2	6	30	27	20
7	PPJ	14	4	7	3	25	20	19
8	Puiu	14	4	2	8	20	29	14
9	MyPa	14	3	2	9	16	32	11
10	Union Plaani	14	2	2	10	15	39	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HPS	HIFK 2
Atlantis	3-5 L	2-3 L
MyPa	5-2 W	4-0 W
PEPO	0-2 L	2-1 W
Reipas	3-2 W	1-1 D
Puiu	2-0 W	2-0 W
Kiffen	1-2 L	1-1 D
Union Plaani	2-0 W	3-0 W
PPJ	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: HIFK 2 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HPS

WWDWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-3	3-5	12	3	L
18/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	5-2	9	5	W
11/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
04/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	3-2	2	4	W
27/06	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
12/06	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
06/06	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
31/05	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-2	3	5	D
22/05	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-0	7	10	W
16/05	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	4-3	–	–	W

HIFK 2

DLWLWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
16/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
12/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
27/06	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/06	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
06/06	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-2	2-3	1	1	L
29/05	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-0	3	8	W
22/05	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-2	7	10	L
18/05	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	3-3	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HPS vs HIFK 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HIFK 2 win (50%). Probabilities: HPS 27%, draw 23%, HIFK 2 50%.

How many goals are expected in HPS vs HIFK 2?

The model expects 3.55 goals (HPS 1.5 · HIFK 2 2.05), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in HPS vs HIFK 2?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.