Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 07/08, 18:00

Prediction: Atlantis vs Reipas

Team pages: Atlantis · Reipas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.58Total

Atlantis2.42

Reipas2.16

1X2

44% 21% 35%

Atlantis Draw Reipas

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantis 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWWLWWD

Reipas 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLDLWW

Head-to-head

Atlantis 0–2–4 Reipas (6 last)

Reipas1-0Atlantis
Atlantis0-4Reipas
Reipas4-1Atlantis
Reipas2-1Atlantis
Atlantis2-2Reipas
Reipas1-1Atlantis

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis 1553 · Reipas 1488

	Atlantis	Draw	Reipas
Our model	45%	20%	35%
Market	44%	21%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 4.58 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlantis (rating 1553 vs 1488).
H2H favours Reipas: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantis	Reipas
Goals for / against (FT)	3.7 / 2.1	1.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	2.1 / 1.2	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.3	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.20

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.90

Under 4.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 4.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:05 +2’	2.05	4.20	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis 0–2–4 Reipas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Reipas	1-0 HT 0-0	Atlantis
06/09/22 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Atlantis	0-4 HT 0-1	Reipas
18/06/22 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Reipas	4-1 HT 0-1	Atlantis
17/03/22 Europe Friendlies	Reipas	2-1 HT 0-1	Atlantis
24/08/21 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Atlantis	2-2 HT 2-1	Reipas
31/07/21 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Reipas	1-1 HT 0-0	Atlantis

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	15	9	3	3	32	22	30
2	PEPO	15	8	4	3	25	20	28
3	HIFK 2	15	7	5	3	33	21	26
4	HPS	15	7	3	5	36	31	24
5	Atlantis	15	7	2	6	47	36	23
6	Reipas	15	7	2	6	32	28	23
7	PPJ	15	4	7	4	26	22	19
8	Puiu	15	4	3	8	22	31	15
9	MyPa	15	3	3	9	16	32	12
10	Union Plaani	15	2	2	11	15	41	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantis	Reipas
Puiu	2-2 D	1-4 L
HPS	5-3 W	2-3 L
Union Plaani	6-3 W	4-2 W
Kiffen	3-5 L	2-3 L
PEPO	5-1 W	1-2 L
MyPa	2-1 W	4-2 W
PPJ	3-3 D	2-1 W
HIFK 2	3-2 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Atlantis (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis

WLWDWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-2	11	8	D
25/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	5-3	10	3	W
18/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	6-3	5	3	W
10/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-3	3-5	5	4	L
04/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-0	5-1	2	5	W
27/06	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
11/06	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-3	3-3	7	5	D
06/06	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-2	3-2	4	1	W
31/05	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
22/05	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	6-0	8-0	7	6	W

Reipas

LWLWLLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
25/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	4-2	7	5	W
18/07	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-4	1-4	5	3	L
12/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
04/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	2-3	3	4	L
27/06	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	2-3	6	4	L
13/06	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
04/06	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
31/05	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
22/05	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	0-3	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis vs Reipas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlantis win (44%). Probabilities: Atlantis 44%, draw 21%, Reipas 35%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis vs Reipas?

The model expects 4.58 goals (Atlantis 2.42 · Reipas 2.16), with a 51% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis vs Reipas?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.