Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 07/08, 18:00

Prediction: PEPO vs MyPa

Team pages: PEPO · MyPa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.87Total

PEPO2.76

MyPa1.11

1X2

71% 17% 12%

PEPO Draw MyPa

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

PEPO 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLDLWLWW

MyPa 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLWLLD

Head-to-head

PEPO 3–3–0 MyPa (6 last)

MyPa0-0PEPO
MyPa1-6PEPO
MyPa0-0PEPO
PEPO2-0MyPa
MyPa1-1PEPO
PEPO2-1MyPa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PEPO 1531 · MyPa 1413

	PEPO	Draw	MyPa
Our model	71%	17%	12%
Market	71%	17%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PEPO (rating 1531 vs 1413).
H2H favours PEPO: 3-3-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PEPO	MyPa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.9	2.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.25

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.27▼	Bet365 1.27
X	4.75 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:04 +3’	1.30	4.75	7.50
12:12 +3’	1.27▼	5.25▲	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PEPO 3–3–0 MyPa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	MyPa	0-0 HT 0-0	PEPO
03/09/25 Finland Kakkonen Group A	MyPa	1-6 HT 1-4	PEPO
05/07/25 Finland Kakkonen Group A	MyPa	0-0 HT 0-0	PEPO
03/05/25 Finland Kakkonen Group A	PEPO	2-0 HT 1-0	MyPa
10/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A	MyPa	1-1 HT 1-1	PEPO
07/06/24 Finland Kakkonen Group A	PEPO	2-1 HT 0-0	MyPa

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	15	9	3	3	32	22	30
2	PEPO	15	8	4	3	25	20	28
3	HIFK 2	15	7	5	3	33	21	26
4	HPS	15	7	3	5	36	31	24
5	Atlantis	15	7	2	6	47	36	23
6	Reipas	15	7	2	6	32	28	23
7	PPJ	15	4	7	4	26	22	19
8	Puiu	15	4	3	8	22	31	15
9	MyPa	15	3	3	9	16	32	12
10	Union Plaani	15	2	2	11	15	41	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PEPO	MyPa
Union Plaani	2-0 W	2-0 W
Puiu	3-2 W	1-1 D
Kiffen	0-2 L	0-0 D
HPS	2-0 W	2-5 L
Atlantis	1-5 L	1-2 L
PPJ	2-2 D	1-3 L
HIFK 2	1-2 L	0-4 L
Reipas	2-1 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: PEPO (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

PEPO

DDWLDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
24/07	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	3-2	6	5	W
18/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
11/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	11	4	W
04/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-3	1-5	4	5	L
27/06	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
13/06	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
04/06	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
29/05	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
23/05	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	11	4	D

MyPa

LDLDLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
25/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	2-4	2	5	L
18/07	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-2	2-5	7	5	L
11/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
04/07	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-4	6	7	L
27/06	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
13/06	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
06/06	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-3	5	9	L
29/05	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
26/05	HJK Helsinki Finland Cup	0-6	1-11	1	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PEPO vs MyPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PEPO win (71%). Probabilities: PEPO 71%, draw 17%, MyPa 12%.

How many goals are expected in PEPO vs MyPa?

The model expects 3.87 goals (PEPO 2.76 · MyPa 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PEPO vs MyPa?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.