Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: HIFK 2 vs Puiu

Team pages: HIFK 2 · Puiu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.88Total

HIFK 22.6

Puiu1.28

1X2

65% 19% 16%

HIFK 2 Draw Puiu

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

HIFK 2 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWDLDD

Puiu 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLWWLD

Head-to-head

HIFK 2 4–1–1 Puiu (6 last)

Puiu0-2HIFK 2
Puiu2-2HIFK 2
HIFK 22-0Puiu
Puiu6-1HIFK 2
HIFK 21-0Puiu
Puiu2-3HIFK 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HIFK 2 1519 · Puiu 1452

	HIFK 2	Draw	Puiu
Our model	65%	19%	16%
Market	65%	19%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.88 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HIFK 2 (rating 1519 vs 1452).
H2H favours HIFK 2: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HIFK 2	Puiu
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.1 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.75

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:17 +1’	1.38	4.75	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HIFK 2 4–1–1 Puiu

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	Puiu	0-2 HT 0-0	HIFK 2
11/01/26 Europe Friendlies	Puiu	2-2 HT 1-1	HIFK 2
06/05/25 Finland Cup	HIFK 2	2-0 HT 2-0	Puiu
31/07/22 Finland Kolmonen	Puiu	6-1 HT 2-1	HIFK 2
23/04/22 Finland Kolmonen	HIFK 2	1-0 HT 0-0	Puiu
01/04/22 Finland Cup	Puiu	2-3 HT 2-1	HIFK 2

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	15	9	3	3	32	22	30
2	PEPO	15	8	4	3	25	20	28
3	HIFK 2	15	7	5	3	33	21	26
4	HPS	15	7	3	5	36	31	24
5	Atlantis	15	7	2	6	47	36	23
6	Reipas	15	7	2	6	32	28	23
7	PPJ	15	4	7	4	26	22	19
8	Puiu	15	4	3	8	22	31	15
9	MyPa	15	3	3	9	16	32	12
10	Union Plaani	15	2	2	11	15	41	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HIFK 2	Puiu
HPS	5-5 D	0-2 L
Kiffen	1-1 D	0-2 L
PPJ	1-2 L	4-1 W
Reipas	1-1 D	4-1 W
MyPa	4-0 W	1-1 D
Union Plaani	3-0 W	1-2 L
PEPO	2-1 W	2-3 L
Atlantis	2-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: HIFK 2 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HIFK 2

LWLWWWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-2	5-5	3	13	D
25/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
16/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
12/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
27/06	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/06	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-1	7	5	W
06/06	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-2	2-3	1	1	L
29/05	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-0	3	8	W
22/05	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-2	7	10	L

Puiu

LLLDLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-2	0	8	D
24/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	2-3	2	5	L
18/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	4-1	4-1	3	3	W
11/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	4-1	5	4	W
04/07	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
27/06	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
13/06	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
08/06	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	0-2	6	5	L
29/05	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
22/05	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-6	0-8	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HIFK 2 vs Puiu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HIFK 2 win (65%). Probabilities: HIFK 2 65%, draw 19%, Puiu 16%.

How many goals are expected in HIFK 2 vs Puiu?

The model expects 3.88 goals (HIFK 2 2.6 · Puiu 1.28), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in HIFK 2 vs Puiu?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.