Prediction: Kiffen vs Union Plaani

Team pages: Kiffen · Union Plaani

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Kiffen2.75
Union Plaani0.94
1X2
75% 15% 10%
Kiffen Draw Union Plaani
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Kiffen 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWWDD
Union Plaani 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
DLLLLWLLWL
Head-to-head
Kiffen 1–0 Union Plaani (1 last)
  • Union Plaani0-2Kiffen
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kiffen 1596 · Union Plaani 1426
KiffenDrawUnion Plaani
Our model75%16%10%
Market75%15%10%
Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kiffen (rating 1596 vs 1426).
  • High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KiffenUnion Plaani
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.90.9 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.10.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/20/0%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 62.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 04.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kiffen 100 Union Plaani

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Union Plaani0-2
HT 0-2
Kiffen

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kiffen 15933 322230
2 PEPO 15843 252028
3 HIFK 2 15753 332126
4 HPS 15735 363124
5 Atlantis 15726 473623
6 Reipas 15726 322823
7 PPJ 15474 262219
8 Puiu 15438 223115
9 MyPa 15339 163212
10 Union Plaani 152211 15418

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKiffenUnion Plaani
MyPa 0-0 D 0-2 L
HIFK 2 1-1 D 0-3 L
PEPO 2-0 W 0-2 L
Atlantis 5-3 W 3-6 L
PPJ 2-1 W 1-0 W
Reipas 3-2 W 2-4 L
HPS 2-1 W 0-2 L
Puiu 2-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 6 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Kiffen (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kiffen

WWWWWWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-0 85 D
25/07 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 1-1 86 D
18/07 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 2-0 64 W
10/07 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
3-0 5-3 24 W
02/07 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 2-1 36 W
27/06 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-1 3-2 54 W
12/06 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 2-1 85 W
08/06 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 2-0 85 W
29/05 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 2-0 84 W
23/05 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 3-1 45 W

Union Plaani

DLLLLWLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 0-2 35 L
24/07 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-0 35 W
18/07 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-4 3-6 83 L
11/07 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 0-2 58 L
04/07 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-1 124 W
27/06 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-3 L
13/06 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-4 L
06/06 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-2 94 L
29/05 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-2 44 L
23/05 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 1-1 34 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kiffen vs Union Plaani?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kiffen win (75%). Probabilities: Kiffen 75%, draw 15%, Union Plaani 10%.

How many goals are expected in Kiffen vs Union Plaani?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Kiffen 2.75 · Union Plaani 0.94), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Kiffen vs Union Plaani?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.