Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 11/10, 12:30

Prediction: Team Altamura vs Catania

Team pages: Team Altamura · Catania

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Team Altamura0.77
Catania1.57
1X2
18% 27% 56%
Team Altamura Draw Catania
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Team Altamura 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLWDLLLWLD
Catania 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDLLWLWDWW
Head-to-head
Team Altamura 0–1–3 Catania (4 last)
  • Team Altamura1-2Catania
  • Catania2-0Team Altamura
  • Team Altamura1-1Catania
  • Catania2-0Team Altamura
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Team Altamura 1449 · Catania 1512
Team AltamuraDrawCatania
Our model17%28%55%
Market18%26%56%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Catania (rating 1449 vs 1512).
  • H2H favours Catania: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Team AltamuraCatania
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.51.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.80.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.13 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 03.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Team Altamura 0–1–3 Catania

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/03/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Team Altamura1-2
HT 0-1
Catania
09/11/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Catania2-0
HT 0-0
Team Altamura
23/02/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Team Altamura1-1
HT 1-1
Catania
12/10/24
Italy Serie C Group C
Catania2-0
HT 2-0
Team Altamura

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 8611 211119
2 Bari 9612 13619
3 Sorrento Calcio 8602 12718
4 Casertana 9432 151315
5 Audace Cerignola 9423 14914
6 Catania 8413 141013
7 Salernitana 8332 121012
8 AZ Picerno ASD 8404 161512
9 Monopoli 9333 7712
10 Foggia 8323 8711
11 Cavese 8323 141411
12 Scafatese 7241 10910
13 Inter Milan U23 7313 121310
14 AC Savoia 1908 9243 111210
15 Casarano 8314 101310
16 Team Altamura 8224 4108
17 Barletta 8143 11147
18 Giugliano 8215 12187
19 Cosenza 8026 5182
20 Crotone 9135 10150

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTeam AltamuraCatania
Scafatese 0-2 L 1-2 L
AZ Picerno ASD 2-1 W 4-2 W
Casertana 0-1 L 2-1 W
Inter Milan U23 1-1 D 1-2 L
Monopoli 1-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Catania (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Team Altamura

DLWDLLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 05 D
27/09 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 02 L
19/09 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 2-1 52 W
15/09 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 12 L
11/09 Bari
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 0-3 65 L
06/09 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 0-2 23 L
29/08 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 05 D
24/08 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 33 W
26/04 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 0-4 12 L
19/04 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 32 D

Catania

DDLLWLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 2-1 83 W
27/09 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-1 85 W
19/09 Barletta
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 35 D
15/09 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
3-0 4-2 43 W
12/09 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-2 77 L
07/09 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 4-0 34 W
29/08 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 42 L
23/08 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 1-2 83 L
26/04 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 92 D
19/04 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 107 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Team Altamura vs Catania?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Catania win (56%). Probabilities: Team Altamura 18%, draw 27%, Catania 56%.

How many goals are expected in Team Altamura vs Catania?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Team Altamura 0.77 · Catania 1.57), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Team Altamura vs Catania?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.