Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 12/10, 20:30

Prediction: AZ Picerno ASD vs Cosenza

Team pages: AZ Picerno ASD · Cosenza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
AZ Picerno ASD1.67
Cosenza1.16
1X2
48% 27% 25%
AZ Picerno ASD Draw Cosenza
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AZ Picerno ASD 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
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Cosenza 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
WDLLLDLDLL
Head-to-head
AZ Picerno ASD 1–1 Cosenza (2 last)
  • AZ Picerno ASD3-1Cosenza
  • Cosenza1-0AZ Picerno ASD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AZ Picerno ASD 1503 · Cosenza 1432
AZ Picerno ASDDrawCosenza
Our model48%26%25%
Market47%28%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AZ Picerno ASD (rating 1503 vs 1432).
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AZ Picerno ASDCosenza
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.70.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.92.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.43.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · AZ Picerno ASD 1–0–1 Cosenza

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/04/26
Italy Serie C Group C
AZ Picerno ASD3-1
HT 1-1
Cosenza
07/12/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Cosenza1-0
HT 0-0
AZ Picerno ASD

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 8611 211119
2 Bari 9612 13619
3 Sorrento Calcio 8602 12718
4 Casertana 9432 151315
5 Audace Cerignola 9423 14914
6 Catania 8413 141013
7 Salernitana 8332 121012
8 AZ Picerno ASD 8404 161512
9 Monopoli 9333 7712
10 Foggia 8323 8711
11 Cavese 8323 141411
12 Scafatese 7241 10910
13 Inter Milan U23 7313 121310
14 AC Savoia 1908 9243 111210
15 Casarano 8314 101310
16 Team Altamura 8224 4108
17 Barletta 8143 11147
18 Giugliano 8215 12187
19 Cosenza 8026 5182
20 Crotone 9135 10150

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAZ Picerno ASDCosenza
Potenza 2-4 L 1-2 L
Audace Cerignola 2-1 W 1-3 L
Catania 2-4 L 0-4 L
Scafatese 2-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AZ Picerno ASD (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AZ Picerno ASD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 2-4 52 L
26/09 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
2-0 2-1 38 W
19/09 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-2 42 L
15/09 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
0-3 2-4 43 L
12/09 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 81 L
07/09 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group C
2-0 4-1 76 W
28/08 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 94 W
23/08 AC Savoia 1908
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 3-2 65 W
26/04 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 –– D
19/04 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-2 76 L

Cosenza

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-2 64 L
26/09 Bari
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 73 L
19/09 Scafatese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 34 D
15/09 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 2-5 47 L
12/09 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 24 D
07/09 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-4 34 L
29/08 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-2 64 L
22/08 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-3 56 L
26/04 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 22 D
19/04 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 93 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AZ Picerno ASD vs Cosenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AZ Picerno ASD win (48%). Probabilities: AZ Picerno ASD 48%, draw 27%, Cosenza 25%.

How many goals are expected in AZ Picerno ASD vs Cosenza?

The model expects 2.83 goals (AZ Picerno ASD 1.67 · Cosenza 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AZ Picerno ASD vs Cosenza?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.