Prediction: Casarano vs Salernitana
Team pages: Casarano · Salernitana
- Salernitana3-0Casarano
- Casarano2-2Salernitana
| Casarano | Draw | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 28% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salernitana (rating 1476 vs 1527).
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Casarano | Salernitana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.4 | 3.2 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Casarano 0–1–1 Salernitana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 Italy Serie C Group C | Salernitana | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Casarano |
| 28/09/25 Italy Serie C Group C | Casarano | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Salernitana |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Bari | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Sorrento Calcio | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Casertana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | Audace Cerignola | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Catania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Salernitana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | AZ Picerno ASD | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Monopoli | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 |
| 10 | Foggia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 11 | Cavese | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| 12 | Scafatese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Inter Milan U23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | AC Savoia 1908 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 15 | Casarano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 16 | Team Altamura | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | Barletta | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 7 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 2 |
| 20 | Crotone | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Casarano | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| Sorrento Calcio | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Barletta | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Bari | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Giugliano | 4-3 W | 1-0 W |
| Potenza | 1-4 L | 4-2 W |
| Crotone | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Salernitana (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casarano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/09 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
Salernitana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Bari Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Crotone Italy Serie C Group C |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | Barletta Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 11/09 | Potenza Italy Serie C Group C |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casarano vs Salernitana?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Salernitana win (40%). Probabilities: Casarano 32%, draw 28%, Salernitana 40%.
How many goals are expected in Casarano vs Salernitana?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Casarano 1.31 · Salernitana 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Casarano vs Salernitana?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.