Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 23/10, 20:30

Prediction: Team Altamura vs Potenza

Team pages: Team Altamura · Potenza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Team Altamura1.18

Potenza1.64

1X2

26% 27% 47%

Team Altamura Draw Potenza

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Team Altamura 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWLDLW

Potenza 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Team Altamura 0–4–2 Potenza (6 last)

Potenza3-0Team Altamura
Team Altamura2-2Potenza
Potenza3-1Team Altamura
Potenza1-1Team Altamura
Team Altamura2-2Potenza
Team Altamura1-1Potenza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Team Altamura 1461 · Potenza 1596

	Team Altamura	Draw	Potenza
Our model	26%	27%	47%
Market	26%	27%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Potenza (rating 1461 vs 1596).
H2H favours Potenza: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Team Altamura	Potenza
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.4	2.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.6	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.30

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +4’	3.40	3.30	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Team Altamura 0–4–2 Potenza

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Italy Serie C Group C	Potenza	3-0 HT 2-0	Team Altamura
05/10/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Team Altamura	2-2 HT 0-2	Potenza
17/03/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Potenza	3-1 HT 3-0	Team Altamura
26/11/24 Italy Serie C Cup	Potenza	1-1 HT 1-0	Team Altamura
04/11/24 Italy Serie C Group C	Team Altamura	2-2 HT 1-1	Potenza
23/08/18 Europe Friendlies	Team Altamura	1-1 HT 1-0	Potenza

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Potenza	10	8	1	1	26	13	25
2	Bari	10	6	2	2	13	6	20
3	Sorrento Calcio	10	6	1	3	14	10	19
4	Audace Cerignola	10	5	2	3	18	9	17
5	Catania	10	5	1	4	18	12	16
6	Casertana	10	4	4	2	15	13	16
7	Cavese	10	4	3	3	20	17	15
8	Monopoli	10	4	3	3	11	9	15
9	Scafatese	9	3	5	1	15	13	14
10	Salernitana	10	3	5	2	14	12	14
11	Inter Milan U23	9	4	1	4	18	17	13
12	AZ Picerno ASD	10	4	0	6	17	18	12
13	Barletta	10	2	5	3	13	15	11
14	Foggia	10	3	2	5	10	13	11
15	Casarano	10	3	2	5	12	18	11
16	Team Altamura	10	3	2	5	7	14	11
17	AC Savoia 1908	10	2	4	4	11	16	10
18	Giugliano	10	3	1	6	15	23	10
19	Cosenza	10	1	2	7	8	22	5
20	Crotone	10	1	4	5	10	15	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Team Altamura	Potenza
Cosenza	3-1 W	2-1 W
Catania	0-3 L	2-1 W
AZ Picerno ASD	2-1 W	4-2 W
Bari	0-3 L	0-0 D
Monopoli	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Potenza (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Team Altamura

WDLLLWLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
11/10	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
04/10	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
27/09	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-2	0	2	L
19/09	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
15/09	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
11/09	Bari Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-3	6	5	L
06/09	AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
29/08	Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
24/08	Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

Potenza

WWWLDWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	2-1	5	9	W
11/10	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	3-1	1	4	W
04/10	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	2-1	4-2	5	2	W
27/09	Barletta Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	4-1	3	3	W
20/09	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	2-0	4-2	3	3	W
15/09	Bari Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
11/09	Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C	1-3	2-4	3	5	L
05/09	Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
29/08	Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
21/08	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	4-1	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Team Altamura vs Potenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Potenza win (47%). Probabilities: Team Altamura 26%, draw 27%, Potenza 47%.

How many goals are expected in Team Altamura vs Potenza?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Team Altamura 1.18 · Potenza 1.64), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Team Altamura vs Potenza?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.