Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 24/10, 17:30

Prediction: AC Savoia 1908 vs Cosenza

Team pages: AC Savoia 1908 · Cosenza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

AC Savoia 19081.56

Cosenza1.17

1X2

45% 28% 27%

AC Savoia 1908 Draw Cosenza

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

AC Savoia 1908 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDLDWL

Cosenza 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDLDLLWL

Head-to-head

AC Savoia 1908 0–2–0 Cosenza (2 last)

Cosenza0-0AC Savoia 1908
AC Savoia 19081-1Cosenza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Savoia 1908 1493 · Cosenza 1417

	AC Savoia 1908	Draw	Cosenza
Our model	45%	27%	27%
Market	45%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Savoia 1908 (rating 1493 vs 1417).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AC Savoia 1908	Cosenza
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	0.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	2.5 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.20

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:09 +13’	2.00	3.20	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Savoia 1908 0–2–0 Cosenza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/15 Italy Serie C Group C	Cosenza	0-0 HT 0-0	AC Savoia 1908
22/11/14 Italy Serie C Group C	AC Savoia 1908	1-1 HT 0-0	Cosenza

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Potenza	10	8	1	1	26	13	25
2	Bari	10	6	2	2	13	6	20
3	Sorrento Calcio	10	6	1	3	14	10	19
4	Audace Cerignola	10	5	2	3	18	9	17
5	Catania	10	5	1	4	18	12	16
6	Casertana	10	4	4	2	15	13	16
7	Cavese	10	4	3	3	20	17	15
8	Monopoli	10	4	3	3	11	9	15
9	Scafatese	9	3	5	1	15	13	14
10	Salernitana	10	3	5	2	14	12	14
11	Inter Milan U23	9	4	1	4	18	17	13
12	AZ Picerno ASD	10	4	0	6	17	18	12
13	Barletta	10	2	5	3	13	15	11
14	Foggia	10	3	2	5	10	13	11
15	Casarano	10	3	2	5	12	18	11
16	Team Altamura	10	3	2	5	7	14	11
17	AC Savoia 1908	10	2	4	4	11	16	10
18	Giugliano	10	3	1	6	15	23	10
19	Cosenza	10	1	2	7	8	22	5
20	Crotone	10	1	4	5	10	15	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AC Savoia 1908	Cosenza
Audace Cerignola	0-4 L	1-3 L
Cavese	2-4 L	0-0 D
Foggia	0-0 D	0-2 L
Team Altamura	2-0 W	1-3 L
AZ Picerno ASD	2-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cosenza (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Savoia 1908

LLWDDDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-3	0-4	4	3	L
10/10	Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
03/10	Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
26/09	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	2-4	6	2	L
19/09	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
15/09	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Crotone Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
06/09	Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
29/08	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	1-2	1-2	6	5	L
23/08	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	2-3	5	5	L

Cosenza

LLLDLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	1-3	5	5	L
12/10	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
04/10	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
26/09	Bari Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
19/09	Scafatese Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
15/09	Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C	1-2	2-5	4	7	L
12/09	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
07/09	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
29/08	Potenza Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
22/08	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	1-3	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Savoia 1908 vs Cosenza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AC Savoia 1908 win (45%). Probabilities: AC Savoia 1908 45%, draw 28%, Cosenza 27%.

How many goals are expected in AC Savoia 1908 vs Cosenza?

The model expects 2.74 goals (AC Savoia 1908 1.56 · Cosenza 1.17), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Savoia 1908 vs Cosenza?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.